Royals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Royals at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

Kansas City Royals

3-2

1 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			2.98	10-4
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Guardians 4-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 06, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+100

CLE -1.5-110

$1.00

KC +190

0.5u

CLE 90 wRC+ Hm & v RHP/76 L7 days - CLE pen bottom half of league estimators L30 days too - makes me feel this has climbed just a bit high

T.Bibee u6.5 Ks-118

Projecting closer to -180

Under 9-110

0.91u

CLE 72% under as home favorite, KC 57% away

CLE -210

0.52u

CLE -135

$107.41

DRAFTKINGS PROP: Guardians to NOT BAT bottom of the 9th. Alt play here is -1, but it’s probably more juiced

Over 9+100

0.5u

Need +100

Under 9-108

Lyles hasn't been good, but Bibee has (4.18 SIERA/3.41 xERA) - CLE 90/80/98 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, KCR 76/78/77 - defenses combined 12 Runs Prevented

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The Royals are just 59-96 (.381) after a loss since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Jose Ramirez has an OPS of .867 since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Jose Cuas has allowed an OPS of .770 (340 PAs) since last season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

MJ Melendez has an OPS of just .677 since last season -- 10th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Nick Sandlin has allowed an OPS of just .553 (299 PAs) since last season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.417 (72 PA's) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-3	N/A	4-3	N/A	4-3
Royals	3-2	2-0	1-2	1-0	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	3-4	N/A	3-4	N/A	3-4
Royals	1-4	1-1	0-3	0-1	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	4-3	N/A	4-3	N/A	4-3
Royals	3-2	2-0	1-2	1-0	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	ATL	L 1-8	-	-	-
Jul 4th	ATL	W 6-5	-	-	-
Jul 3rd	ATL	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@CHC	W 8-6	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@CHC	W 6-0	-	-	-

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	87	5	5	1
LA.Garrett, P	20	0.1	1	2
RC.Snider, P	11	0.2	1	0
RJ.Cuas, P	8	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-3	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	1	0
3S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0
4N.Pratto, 1B	1-3	0	1
5E.Olivares, LF	0-4	0	0
6M.Melendez, RF	0-4	0	0
7D.Waters, DH	2-4	0	0
8D.Blanco, CF	1-4	0	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	91	5	4	1
RE.Morgan, P	19	1	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	26	1	0	0
RT.Stephan, P	10	1	1	0
RN.Sandlin, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5A.Gimenez, 2B	2-3	3	1	1
6J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9B.Naylor, C	1-3	0	0	1