Royals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Royals at Phillies

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Kansas City Royals

3-2

7 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			4.46	12-9
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Phillies 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:05 p.m.

August 04, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -1.5-125

2.5u

KC +215

2.15u

Uncomforable, but Nola 3.85 SIERA/3.71 xERA, PHI 97/96 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, Def (actual LU) -20 Runs Prevented, pen estimators 6th worst MLB L30 days. The only area where KC is actually better is the defense, but that doesn't seem like a team that should be more than 2-1 over anyone.

Under 9+100

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+102

0.5u

KC +220

1.1u

Bet to +205

Over 9-110

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 9.5 (-102)

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 51% of their games on the road since last season -- seventh-best in MLB. Royals have won just 27% of their games on the road since last season -- worst.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies are batting .250 versus relief pitchers this season -- tied for seventh-best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .254 (390-for-1,534) against RoyalsRPs this season -- fourth-worst in MLB.

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The Phillies are 9-104 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

MJ Melendez has an OPS of just .402 with two strikes this season -- 10th worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aaron Nola has allowed an OPS of just .397 (317 PAs) with two strikes this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

MJ Melendez is batting just .260 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 68% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- tied for fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (145/385) when he's behind in the count this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% -- 93rd Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (274/884) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Phillies' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	1-5	1-5	N/A	1-5	N/A
Royals	3-2	2-0	1-2	1-0	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	4-1-1	4-1-1	N/A	4-1-1	N/A
Royals	1-4	1-1	0-3	0-1	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Royals	3-2	2-0	1-2	1-0	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	@MIA	W 4-2	-	-	-
Aug 2nd	@MIA	L 8-9	-	-	-
Aug 1st	@MIA	W 3-1	-	-	-
Jul 31st	@MIA	W 4-2	-	-	-
Jul 30th	@PIT	L 4-6	-	-	-

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

Zack Wheeler
SP
Wheeler is out with shoulder
Out
Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	91	5.2	2	5
RD.Coleman, P	11	0.1	1	0
RC.Hernandez, P	18	1	0	0
RN. Wittgren, P	16	1	0	0
LA.Cox, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-5	1	1	2
3M.Massey, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6S.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6S.Taylor, LF	0-0	1	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	2-4	1	0	1
8D.Blanco, RF	1-3	0	0	3
9K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	100	5.1	8	5
RY.Marte, P	34	1.2	1	1
RJ.Hoffman, P	21	1	2	1
RD.Covey, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	2
5B.Stott, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	2-3	1	0	0
8T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	2