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Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2025

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • CLEG

Minnesota Twins

34-27
1
1 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

33-27
2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Tanner Bibee logoT.BibeeCleveland Guardians logo3.894-6
Chris Paddack logoC.PaddackMinnesota Twins logo3.582-5

Twins at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
34-27
+1.5
+1.5-184
o8-109
+114
Guardians
33-27
u8
-1.5+154
u8-112
-135
location pinTuesday 10:10 p.m.
April 29, 2025
Progressive FieldCleveland
Twins vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
T.Larnach o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (Live)-110
1u
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 19-28-0 (-0.4u)
MIN +0.5 (F5)-128
0.39u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 79-75-0 (+3.1u)
CLE -0.5 (F5)+100
1u
Paddack nightmare on road – 10.80 ERA, 1.68 WHIP across 8.1 IP. Hit hard: 9 hits + 4 BB. Overall 6.45 ERA, 1.61 WHIP. Too many baserunners (23 hits, 13 BB in 22.1 IP). Road struggles + low 42.3% GB rate = bad combo vs Guardians bats at Progressive. Bibee shines at home – 1.69 ERA, 2 ER across 10.2 IP at Progressive. Better contact control – 47.4% GB rate, 3.9% weak contact. Still 50.6% Zone% – challenges hitters. WHIP a touch high (1.41) but huge edge over Paddack in early innings setup. Guardians offense better at home (.227) vs Twins’ road bats (.207). Bibee crushed Twins last year – 2 wins, 1 no-decision, 3 starts with 2 ER or less. Cleveland far likelier to strike first behind Bibee’s comfort + Paddack’s early road troubles.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 31-40-0 (-10.0u)
K.Manzardo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1u
J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+105
1u
CLE o4.5+105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 139-165-3 (+1.9u)
S.Kwan o1.5 Hits+188
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 39-55-0 (-20.0u)
CLE -155
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 118-89-2 (+16.2u)
CLE -145
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 138-142-6 (-2.6u)
Over 8-105
0.53u
Tuesday. Bet to -115

Twins vs. Guardians Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Twins vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Twins

Public

Home Logo

Guardians

30%

Bets%

70%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Guardians are 16-16 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Guardians' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Guardians' 28 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians		30-3014-1416-1611-1119-18
Twins		36-2517-919-1623-1613-9

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians		26-31-312-15-114-16-212-1014-20-3
Twins		21-36-48-17-113-19-314-23-27-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians		33-2717-1116-1615-718-19
Twins		34-2718-816-1924-1510-12

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 28thMINL 1-11-1.5 LO 8MIN -125
Apr 27thBOSL 3-13+1.5 LO 7.5BOS +100
Apr 26thBOSL 3-7+1.5 LO 7.5BOS +102
Apr 26thBOSW 5-4+1.5 WO 7.5CLE -105
Apr 23rdNYYL 1-5+1.5 LU 8.5NYY +144

Guardians vs. Twins Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Ben Lively
    SP

    Lively is out with elbow

    Out

  • Shane Bieber
    SP

    Bieber is out with elbow

    Out

  • John Means
    SP

    Means is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

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    Twins vs. Guardians Box Score
    Twins Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Chris Paddack logoRC.Paddack, P76521
    Brock Stewart logoRB.Stewart, P17110
    Griffin Jax logoRG.Jax, P13120
    Jhoan Duran logoRJ.Duran, P13120
    Louis Varland logoRL.Varland, P3001
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Edouard Julien logo1E.Julien, DH0-4000
    Byron Buxton logo2B.Buxton, CF0-3000
    Carlos Correa logo3C.Correa, SS1-4000
    Trevor Larnach logo4T.Larnach, RF0-4000
    Ty France logo5T.France, 1B3-4111
    DaShawn Keirsey logo5D.Keirsey, PR0-0000
    Mickey Gasper logo5M.Gasper, 1B0-0000
    Jonah Bride logo6J.Bride, 3B0-4000
    Brooks Lee logo7B.Lee, 2B1-3000
    Harrison Bader logo8H.Bader, LF1-3000
    Christian Vazquez logo9C.Vazquez, C1-3000
    Kody Clemens logo9K.Clemens, PR0-0000
    Ryan Jeffers logo9R.Jeffers, C0-0000
    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Tanner Bibee logoRT.Bibee, P92751
    Cade Smith logoRC.Smith, P22120
    Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P13100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF0-4000
    Gabriel Arias logo2G.Arias, SS1-4000
    Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B0-4000
    Kyle Manzardo logo4K.Manzardo, DH2-3111
    Carlos Santana logo5C.Santana, 1B0-2000
    Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, RF1-3000
    Daniel Schneemann logo7D.Schneemann, 2B1-3000
    Bo Naylor logo8B.Naylor, C1-3111
    Angel Martinez logo9A.Martinez, CF0-3000

    Twins vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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    Twins at Guardians Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Twins
    34-27
    o3.5-120
    u3.5-106
    Guardians
    33-27
    o3.5-146
    u3.5+114