Twins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Twins at Red Sox

8:10 pm • MNNT

Minnesota Twins

32-27

4 - 3

Boston Red Sox

29-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Dobbins			4.06	2-1
B.Ober			3.48	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 32-27	-1.5	+1.5-192	o9.5-101	+105
Red Sox 29-33	u9	-1.5+170	u9.5-120	-122

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 03, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

B.Ober u3.5 Earned Runs-150

0.33u

Projecting this closer to 3.1. Also some light rain in forecast which can’t hurt.

BOS -118

1.18u

BOS -115

A.Bregman o0.5 HR+410

0.5u

BOS -110

Fenway flips the switch – Red Sox hit .261 and score 5.87 runs/gm at home vs just 5.06 overall. Devers makes elite contact (2.4% weak contact), Bregman steady behind him. Boston’s 9-6 at home with clear offensive rhythm. Twins 4-14 on road, struggle to match tempo. Pitching leans Boston – 2.93 ERA for Sox starters at home. Dobbins still new, but 42.4% GB rate plays in this park. Ober posts 4.25 ERA on road, lives in the zone (55% Zone%), not ideal in Fenway. Boston’s lineup aggressive early – chance to jump ahead quick. Even if it gets late, Boston holds edge. Fenway’s energy, short fences, and high run environment fuel late rallies.

Over 9.5-110

Red Sox avg 5.87 runs/game at home – up from 5.06 overall. Hit .261 at Fenway, bats click in their park. Twins' starters post 4.25 ERA on road – Ober's 32.4% GB rate risky here. Fenway punishes air contact. His 55% Zone% gives Red Sox aggressive bats room to attack early. Boston starters shine at home (2.93 ERA), but bullpen shows cracks at Fenway (4.67 ERA). Twins have power bats like Buxton, Jeffers who can capitalize late. Over hit in 10 of last 14 Fenway matchups. Park plays big for hitters. Boston’s offense reliable at home, Twins can do their part vs bullpen. Both teams have talent at the plate, both pens exploitable. All signs point to a run-filled night in Boston.

BOS -115

1.15u

H.Dobbins u4.5 Ks-130

1.92u

Over 5 (F5)-125

POD

Over 9-125

1.5u

BOS -108

0.54u

Bet to -120

Twins vs. Red Sox: +435 SGP for Saturday
RBsSportsPlays•
May 3, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 16-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Red Sox' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	30-33	14-18	16-15	19-23	11-9
Twins	35-25	17-9	18-16	22-16	13-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	28-34-1	13-18-1	15-16	18-23-1	10-10
Twins	21-35-4	8-17-1	13-18-3	14-22-2	7-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	29-34	16-16	13-18	21-21	8-12
Twins	33-27	18-8	15-19	23-15	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	MIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 9	BOS -120
May 1st	@TOR	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -113
Apr 30th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -110
Apr 29th	@TOR	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -141
Apr 27th	@CLE	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -120

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	94	6	6	1
RB.Stewart, P	13	0.1	1	2
RG.Jax, P	7	0.2	0	0
RC.Sands, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, LF	1-5	0	0	1
2B.Buxton, CF	2-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	0-5	1	0	0
4B.Lee, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-3	1	0	1
6R.Jeffers, DH	2-4	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Keirsey, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7K.Clemens, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8H.Bader, RF	2-4	1	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Dobbins, P	92	5.2	2	4
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	31	1.2	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	2	1
2R.Devers, DH	3-5	0	2
3A.Bregman, 3B	0-3	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	0-5	0	0
5T.Story, SS	1-4	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	3-4	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-4	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0