Yankees vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Yankees at Brewers

12:10 am • MLB Network

New York Yankees

8-6

6 - 7

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
L.Gil			3.50	15-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5	-1.5+120	o8.5-120	-141
Brewers 1-2	u8.5	+1.5-142	u8.5+100	+120

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

April 27, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL +122

0.61u

Bet to +113

NYY -1.5+140

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-136

0.37u

Ballpark pal projects 4.1 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -185 giving value to this number

L.Gil u15.5 Outs-145

He burned me last game, but I’m going back to the well here… The Brewers see a lot of pitches, and chase at the second lowest rate in baseball. Gil has the highest pitches per PA (4.46), and is 124/131 in strike rate. Plus the Brewers have the 4th best wRC+ (121) and third best OPS (.785) vs righties this season.

MIL +105 (F5)

0.5u

NYY -130

2.6u

Yankees might score 50

Featured Insight
Yankees RPs have allowed a SLG of just .344 since last season -- best in MLB. Brewers hitters are slugging just .348 versus relief pitchers since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 52% over the last week -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Yankees over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

46% of Sal Frelick strikeouts are looking since last season -- highest among hitters with at least 277 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. 36% of Clay Holmes strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	@PIT	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIL -140
Apr 24th	@PIT	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	MIL -122
Apr 23rd	@PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -115
Apr 22nd	@PIT	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PIT +127
Apr 21st	@STL	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL +137

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	97	5	6	5
RR.Marinaccio, P	15	1.1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	12	0.2	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	10	1	2	0
RM.Tonkin, P	26	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-4	1	1	1
3A.Judge, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Jones, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Jones, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	1	1	1
6A.Verdugo, CF	1-4	1	1	1
7O.Cabrera, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7O.Cabrera, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
8A.Wells, C	0-1	1	0	0
8J.Trevino, PH	0-2	1	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-2	1	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-2	1	1	3
9G.Stanton, PH	1-1	0	0	1
9T.Trammell, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Trammell, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	86	6	4	5
LH.Milner, P	17	1	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	11	1	1	0
LB.Hudson, P	23	1	1	0
LJ.Koenig, P	26	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
1S.Frelick, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-5	1	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	1
4R.Hoskins, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5B.Perkins, CF	1-5	1	1	2
6G.Sanchez, DH	1-5	1	0	0
6O.Miller, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	2-4	1	1	4
9J.Chourio, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, LF	0-0	0	0	0