Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023

Yankees at Orioles

7:05 pm • MASN

New York Yankees

8-6

6 - 7

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+130	o8.5-110	-125
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-157	u8.5-110	+105

Friday 7:05 p.m.

April 07, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104

0.2u

C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104

1.04u

Good buy low opportunity on Schmidt who had a rough opening start, but all of the underlying metrics look promising. He now throws a cutter as his main pitch and it was able to generate a 33% whiff rate and should come in handy against a LHB heavy lineup the Orioles are sending out there today. He was able to generate a 16% swinging strike rate (which was excellent) but only saw 11% of his pitches get called a strike. That last metric is less predictive and he should see that figure closer to ~17% going forward which would give him a boost in K rate. Projecting this closer to -150

BAL o3.5-135

$25.00

NYY -130

0.65u

BAL o3.5-130

0.77u

Over 8.5-117

0.85u

NYY -128

1.28u

NYY -120

1.2u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (+100)

NYY -115

1.15u

MLB Best Bets, Picks & Predictions 4/7 | Payoff Pitch Podcast
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Apr 7, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
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The Yankees are 29-26 (.527) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Yankees are 50-24 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Orioles are 17-11 (.607) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.

DJ LeMahieu batted .286 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .268 (61-for-228) on Dean Kremer breaking pitches last season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 12th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt allowed a just .179 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth best)-- 92nd Percentile and .818 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second worst among qualified RPs)-- first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .283 (26-for-92) against Clarke Schmidt since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 -- 11th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	@TEX	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TEX +160
Apr 5th	@TEX	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +125
Apr 4th	@TEX	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +120
Apr 2nd	@BOS	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 9	BOS +116
Apr 1st	@BOS	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +131

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	84	3.1	3	4
RI.Hamilton, P	26	2	4	1
RR.Marinaccio, P	29	1	2	1
RJ. Cordero, P	14	0.2	0	1
LW.Peralta, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	2-4	2	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	3-4	1	0	3
7J.Trevino, C	0-3	1	0	0
8F. Cordero, RF	1-1	1	1	3
8I.Kiner-Falefa, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	87	5	4	4
RL.Gillaspie, P	16	0.1	0	1
LD.Coulombe, P	7	0.2	1	0
LC.Perez, P	13	1	1	1
RB.Baker, P	8	1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-3	1	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	1	0
3R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1
5G.Henderson, DH	2-5	1	1
6R.Urias, 3B	2-3	2	1
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	1
8A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	1
9J.Mateo, SS	2-4	1	0