Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2023

Heat at Nuggets

12:00 am • ABC

Miami Heat

1-4

111

111 - 108

Denver Nuggets

4-1

108

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 1-4	+8-108	o216.5-110	+270
Nuggets 4-1	-8-112	u216.5-110	-335

Monday 12:00 a.m.

June 05, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

N.Jokic o51.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

G.Vincent o3.5 Ast+133

0.5u

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M-160

M.Strus o12.5 Pts+Rebs-105

0.95u

DEN -122 (Live)

DEN -1.5 (Live)+100

C.Martin u1.5 Ast-225

0.44u

1 or fewer in 4 ofL5 despite a averaging 35.4 MPG.Zero potential assists in 24 minutes in Game 1.

D.Robinson u1.5 Ast-220

0.45u

1 or fewer in 8 of 10 road playoff games off bench and rotation getting crowded.

M.Strus u14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130

Under 14.5 in each of last 4, 6 of last 7. Love starting, Highsmith's emergence, Martin availability could squeeze his minutes. Played just 6 min in 2H of Game 1.

J.Butler o26.5 Pts-106

1.06u

DEN -337

K.Love o0.5 3pt M-155

Very low. He gets the surprise start after being out of the rotation. Love takes 72% of his shots from 3PT & MIA will need his shooting to open the lanes while DEN plays drop coverage. Can see Butler kick-outs situations. #PlayerProps

Over 216.5-110

$50.00

Over 216.5-105

MIA +8-105

J.Butler o26.5 Pts-108

$54.00

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-120

G.Vincent o13.5 Pts-102

0.98u

M.Porter Double-Double (Yes)+235

1.5u

Tailing @wheatonbrando

MIA +300

0.99u

MIA +8.5-110

0.3u

Over 216.5-110

0.8u

A.Gordon u13.5 Pts-110

0.91u

Regression play. Had 12 points on 6-of-8 shooting in 1Q of Game 1, 4 points in 1-of-2 shooting rest of game. Under 13.5 in 7 of last 9 playoff games.

G.Vincent u2.5 Rebs-145

0.69u

2 reb or less in 14-of-18 (78%) playoff games. Only 2 reb on 4 reb chances in 37.7 minutes in Game 1.

DEN o112-123

113+ in 10-of-16 (63%) of playoff games. Shot just 29.6% from three in Game 1 but 38% on season.

DEN -8.5-110

-105

A.Gordon u13.5 Pts-115

DEN was clearly prepared & targeted MIA’s size mismatches when in the paint early. AG scored 12 of his 16 PTS in the 1Q. After that, MIA adjusted by keeping Vincent away, switching Jimmy on him, & playing more zone. #PlayerProps

M.Porter o4.5 3pt M+470

0.25u

Let’s ladder this 🪜

A.Gordon u13.5 Pts-120

0.83u

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

MIA o103.5-112

0.98u

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny All plays up at Vegasinsider

Over 215.5-115

$130.43

A.Gordon u22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-today-bet-aaron-gordon-heat-vs-nuggets-game-2-june-4

J.Murray o5.5 Ast-160

0.7u

This shouldn’t be available or should be priced @ -190. Murray had 10 assists on 17 potential in Game 1. Seven of them came in 2nd half when MIA used Highsmith to guard him in zone. Lead DEN in Passes Made & Touches. #PlayerProps

MIA o103.5-112

MIA +8.5-110

$50.00

B.Brown o13.5 Pts+Rebs-122

0.82u

N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-110

0.91u

DEN -2.5 (1Q)-107

J.Murray o6.5 Ast+102

0.51u

J.Murray o5.5 Ast-155

0.32u

A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+925

0.25u

Same as double-double odds.

J.Butler Double-Double (Yes)+240

0.5u

M.Strus o2.5 3pt M+180

0.9u

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M-125

1.25u

K.Caldwell-Pope o10.5 Pts+105

0.5u

MIA +5.5 (1H)-115

1.15u

M.Porter Double-Double (Yes)+225

0.5u

@wheatonbrando MAKE IT HIGHER

J.Butler o25.5 Pts-115

1.15u

G.Vincent o16.5 Pts+Ast-110

M.Porter o8.5 Rebs+108

Under 110.5 (1H)-110

MIA +220 (1H)

2.5u

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+175

0.5u

Adding - he was 1/7 on Open or Wide Open looks.

M.Porter o15.5 Pts-114

$114.00

M.Porter o3.5 3pt M+195

0.25u

M.Porter o2.5 3pt M-135

Looks were THERE in Game 1. Expecting the volume to continue after taking 11 in Game 1.

N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-109

0.92u

Finished with 27 and he barely got cooking. When Miami was forced to stop Murray he went off.

Over 214-110

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 2nd	MIA	W 104-93	-8.5 W	U 218.5	DEN -360
May 23rd	@LAL	W 113-111	+3.5 W	U 226	DEN +135
May 21st	@LAL	W 119-108	+5.5 W	O 223	DEN +188
May 19th	LAL	W 108-103	-5.5 L	U 225.5	DEN -220
May 17th	LAL	W 132-126	-7 L	O 222.5	DEN -290