Pacers vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 7, 2025

Pacers at Hawks

12:30 am • FDSSE

Indiana Pacers

6-2

118

118 - 124

Atlanta Hawks

40-42

124

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pacers 6-2	-1	+2-112	o241-110	+110
Hawks 40-42	u246.5	-2-108	u241-110	-130

Friday 12:30 a.m.

March 07, 2025

State Farm ArenaAtlanta

M.Turner o17.5 Pts+100

1.9u

P.Siakam u7.5 Rebs-125

1.9u

P.Siakam u25.5 Pts-115

1.15u

P.Siakam u37.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.6u

Playing for half a unit on UD at 37.5. No Haliburton or Mathurin and it’s a pace-up spot, but I feel this might be too high of a line. Projections in the industry have him around 37.5 PRA but I personally have him lower than this. RotoGrinders CourtIQ shows his rates without Haliburton see a small decline so I feel this might be an overaction despite this being a good spot for him.

C.LeVert o15.5 Pts-110

IND -150

1.5u

IND -1 (1H)-112

IND -3.5-112

1.12u

A.Nesmith o11.5 Pts-115

ATL +3.5-110

Over 246.5-105

Indiana and Atlanta both thrive in fast-paced, high-scoring games. Pacers average 116.6 PPG, Hawks 116.9 PPG—both top 10. Neither team defends well—Indiana allows 115.1 PPG, Atlanta 119.7 PPG (4th worst). Both squads shoot well: Pacers 49.2% FG, Hawks 46.5%. High tempo + weak defense = points. Recent trends scream Over. Pacers-Hawks matchups have hit the Over in 17 of the last 21 meetings, including 7-1 in Atlanta. Indiana’s last 5 games: 117.8 PPG, 52% FG, 42% from three. Atlanta’s last 5: 115.8 PPG, 49.6% FG. Both teams push transition and rank top 5 in points in the paint. Hawks’ home games trend high—Over is 51-24-1 in their last 76 at State Farm Arena. Trae Young (23.6 PPG, 11.5 APG) runs a high-paced offense, while Tyrese Haliburton (18.5 PPG, 8.9 APG) does the same for Indiana. Even without Mathurin, Indiana’s spacing + Atlanta’s defensive lapses = fireworks.

A.Nesmith o12.5 Pts-105

0.95u

ATL +3.5-106

0.94u

T.Haliburton Double-Double (Yes)-125

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-today-predictions-picks-odds-for-thursday-march-6-qs

ATL +3-108

0.93u

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Under 247.5-105

2.86u

M.Turner u17.5 Pts-120

0.83u

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NBA Public Betting

Hawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Hawks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Hawks are 23-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Hawks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Hawks' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	41-41	18-22	23-19	12-19	28-22
Pacers	36-44-2	17-22-2	19-22	20-28-2	16-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Hawks	50-31-1	26-14	24-17-1	22-9	28-21-1
Pacers	45-37	21-20	24-17	23-27	21-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	40-42	N/A	N/A	19-12	20-30
Pacers	50-32	N/A	N/A	35-15	15-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 5th	MIL	L 121-127	+5 L	O 244.5	MIL +170
Mar 4th	@MEM	W 132-130	+8 W	O 251.5	ATL +260
Mar 1st	OKC	L 119-135	+11 L	O 247.5	OKC +412
Feb 27th	@MIA	L 109-131	+3 L	O 229.5	MIA +130
Feb 25th	MIA	W 98-86	-2.5 W	U 232.5	ATL -136