Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

Commanders at Falcons

5:00 pm • CBS

Washington Commanders

7-2

24 - 16

Atlanta Falcons

6-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders 7-2	+1.5	+2-110	o41.5-110	+105
Falcons 6-3	u42.5	-2-110	u41.5-110	-125

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 15, 2023

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

ATL +200 (Live)

0.25u

ATL -1.5-110

FanDuel

S.Howell u238.5 Pass Yds-115

READ IT: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-prop-picks-bets-john-metchie-sam-howell

WAS +1.5-110

0.91u

Over 42-110

WAS +105

0.79u

WAS +1.5-110

0.91u

WAS +2-110

0.91u

Shitty mean dog bone kibble bacon on gritz

D.Ridder o26.5 Pass Att-115

0.87u

K.Pitts o32.5 Rec Yds-110

WAS +105

1.05u

D.Ridder o0.5 Int+152

1.52u

Would bet to +140

Over 42.5-108

0.75u

Sunday free play.

WAS +115 (1H)

1.15u

Desmond Ridder 0-9 ats 1h.

J.Dotson o31.5 Rec Yds-114

1.14u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Dotson o30.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

D.London o43.5 Rec Yds-114

0.88u

B.Robinson o12.5 Longest Reception-125

ATL -2.5-110

1.1u

L.Thomas o3.5 Recs-109

1.09u

Over in 2/3 full games, with 8, 3 and 11 targets. Falcons allowing 7 receptions to TEs per game, which makes sense given the rest of their defense: their CBs (led by Terrell) have been very solid, and should be able to limit TMac, Dotson and Samuel. And their rush defense ranks 7th in DVOA. Thomas stands to be the beneficiary - and coming off a big volume game, I like that to carry forward.

ATL -2.5-110

1.1u

Featured Insight
Commanders TEs have 56.9 receiving yards per game since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged 57.4 receiving yards per game allowed to TEs since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have gone three and out on 12% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL. Commanders have forced three and outs on 11% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	5-4	2-4	3-0	4-3	1-1
Commanders	8-1-1	5-0	3-1-1	5-0	3-1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	4-5	2-4	2-1	4-3	0-2
Commanders	6-4	1-4	5-0	2-3	4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	6-3	N/A	N/A	5-2	1-1
Commanders	7-2	N/A	N/A	5-0	3-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 8th	HOU	W 21-19	-2.5 L	U 42	ATL -135
Oct 1st	@JAC	L 7-23	+3.5 L	U 42.5	JAC +154
Sep 24th	@DET	L 6-20	+3.5 L	U 47.5	DET +134
Sep 17th	GB	W 25-24	-3 L	O 40	ATL -154
Sep 10th	CAR	W 24-10	-3.5 W	U 40.5	ATL -186

Cornelius Lucas
T
Lucas is out with ankle
Out

Brian Robinson
RB
Robinson is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Drew Dalman
OL
Dalman is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Drake London
WR
London is questionable with hip
Questionable
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is out with ankle
Out
JD Bertrand
LB
Bertrand is out with concussion
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Commanders

Total

Falcons

193

Total Yards

402

Total Plays

3.9

Yards Per Play

5.1

Commanders

Passing

Falcons

151

YDS

307

14/23

Comps/Atts

28/47

4.321

YPA

5.92

3/0

TDs/INTs

2/3

5/30

Sacks/Yards

3/11

Commanders

Rushing

Falcons

Rush Yards

106

Attempts

3.273

YPC

3.655

TDs

Commanders

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Commanders

Efficiency

Falcons

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

2/10 0%

3rd Down

5/15 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Commanders

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Commanders

Misc

Falcons

6/40

Penalties/Yards

4/31

23:37

Possession

36:23

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MatchupOverUnder
Commanders 7-2	o20.5-105	u20.5-119
Falcons 6-3	o21.5-103	u21.5-115

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

Commanders at Falcons

Washington Commanders

Atlanta Falcons

Commanders at Falcons Odds

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Commanders

Public

Falcons

Bets%

Money%

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Over/Under History

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Falcons Injuries

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