Bills vs Bengals Player Props: Ja'Marr Chase, Khalil Shakir, Josh Allen, Dalton Kincaid
In the table below, you'll find Sam Farley's top Bills vs Bengals player prop picks for Sunday Night Football. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Bills vs. Bengals
Josh Allen is obviously amongst the elite quarterbacks in the NFL, but I believe he'll throw an interception against the Bengals.
First, if we look at the takeaway numbers, we can see the Bengals are second in interceptions with 10 through seven games.
You need to consider that this game is expected to be a close shootout, which makes it more likely Allen takes risks to give the Bills the best chance of winning. That spells danger given the 27-year old’s season thus far. Through eight games, he has eight picks, and he has been intercepted in all but two games and is now on a run of four successive games turning the rock over.
With Allen’s gunslinger approach, recent performance and the ability of this Bengals defense to generate turnovers, I think we’re highly likely to see Allen toss another interception on SNF.
Pick: Josh Allen Over 0.5 Interceptions (-130)
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Bills vs. Bengals
One of my favorite bets on Sunday — not just SNF– is for Shakir to record over 2.5 receptions.
Since Dawson Knox went on injured reserve, we’ve spoken a lot about the impact that’s had on Dalton Kincaid — more on him later — but it can’t be overstated how much Shakir has benefited as well.
Up to and including Week 6, we saw Shakir have four receptions on five targets and look like a bit-part in the Bills offense. In the two weeks since, he's hauled in all 10 of his targets.
Last week’s six receptions accumulated 92 yards, and I expect to see the team look for him again against a fairly average Bengals defense. There’s value to be had on Shakir across the board in terms of receiving yards (over 31.5) and anytime touchdown (+425), but I think his receptions line is the safest.
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Bills vs. Bengals
We know all about the abilities of Ja’Marr Chase as a pass-catcher. He’s an elite talent and one of the very best. He also enters this game in great form, with 31 receptions for 372 yards over his last three games.
That should terrify a Bills defense that is still highly rated despite missing their very best players due to injuries. In the last two weeks alone, we’ve seen Baker Mayfield and Mac Jones take advantage of Buffalo, both throwing a pair of touchdowns each.
That’s a red flag against Burrow, who should be able to surgically take apart Buffalo's secondary. Expect Burrow to feed his favorite target, which should lead to Chase finding the end zone again.
Pick: Ja'Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (+105)
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Bills vs. Bengals
Kincaid broke out for his first NFL touchdown last week.
Selected in the first round of this year’s NFL Draft, we’ve expected big things from Kincaid because of the potential mismatches he can create from the slot.
Over the last two weeks, since returning from injury, which has coincided with an injury to Dawson Knox, we’ve seen Kincaid become a volume hog, totaling 13 receptions on 15 targets. Given that usage and the fact that the Bengals have given up four touchdowns to tight ends, you’re getting big value at +240.