Bills vs Jets Odds Week 1
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -115 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -105 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | +115 |
The first Monday Night Football game of the 2023 NFL season is here, and we have Bills vs. Jets odds, picks and player props.
Former Packers star Aaron Rodgers makes his Jets debut against the reigning AFC East champions – a Buffalo team that has become a perennial Super Bowl contender in the tough AFC. The Bills are two-point favorites at MetLife Stadium, and our staff of betting analysts have this game covered. We’ve got a lot of action on the total, plus a player prop for second-year wide receiver Garrett Wilson.
Here are our experts' best bets for Bills vs. Jets on Monday Night Football.
Bills vs. Jets Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NFL betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bills vs. Jets
With all the hype this game is getting, it’s easy to forget these are two of the top defenses in the NFL. The Jets and Bills finished second and third, respectively, in points allowed last season. Jets games in general were low scoring – only 36 total points per game were scored in games they were involved in.
No team in the league was better at limiting opposing touchdown drives than the Jets on a per-drive basis. In fact, the Bills had 22 possessions against the Jets defense last year and could only muster four touchdowns.
When the Jets have the ball, I expect a run-heavy approach with efficient passing attempts mixed in. The offensive line still has some question marks that need to be answered, which leads me to believe the coaching staff will call a fairly conservative game to protect their new star signal caller.
Aaron Rodgers is still going to manage the line of scrimmage in a way that drains the play clock and in turn speeds up the game. This contest will turn into a grind featuring two great defenses, despite the big names at QB.
Pick: Under 45.5 (Bet to 45)
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Bills vs. Jets
Everyone in NFL media and fandom has an opinion on the Jets. It's true that they're adding Aaron Rodgers to a young defense that was elite in 2022 and not overly reliant on turnovers to sustain their success. It's also true that Rodgers thrives in comfort and familiarity and control. His first game for the Jets will feature less control, less comfort and less familiarity than we've seen for him in a long time. There are also real questions as to whether Rodgers' underwhelming EPA numbers last season are the sign of a real decline.
Either way, both of these offensive lines have real question marks entering 2023.
Josh Allen's lack of secondary weapons beyond Stefon Diggs got exposed in the second half of last season and his reckless play became more of an issue as he regressed from an elite and precise pocket passer to more of the gunslinger version we saw prior to 2021 and 2022. Allen was dealing with an injury, but Sauce Gardner awaits a matchup with Diggs now and that will force someone else in Buffalo to step up.
This game should play out as more low-scoring than the market suggests. Buffalo's defense remains underrated, despite its lack of elite pass rush.
Pick: Under 45.5
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Bills vs. Jets
Wilson won Offensive Rookie of the Year last year and did so by catching passes from Joe Flacco, Zach Wilson and Mike White. The arrival of Aaron Rodgers puts Wilson in breakout candidate territory.
I expect Wilson to see the ball early and often in a tough matchup with the Bills, who allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game last year.
I played this on DraftKings for 1.15 units (to win one) at -115.
Pick: Garrett Wilson Over 68.5 Receiving Yards
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