Chargers vs Jets Props: Bets for Quentin Johnston, Justin Herbert, Zach Wilson
In the table below, you'll find each of Michael Crosson's top Chargers vs Jets player props for Monday Night Football. Click on any pick to navigate this post.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Chargers vs. Jets
Zach Wilson
Under 0.5 Interception (+125)
For the first time in years, the Jets were the hottest ticket in NYC entering Week 1 of the season thanks to the acquisition of four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers. But after an offseason with a ludicrous amount of hype, it seemed like the Jets’ playoff chances instantly vanished when Rodgers went down with a torn Achilles on the very first drive of their season opener. They went on to lose three of their first four matchups with Zach Wilson under center to fall to a record of 1-3.
However, just as we were almost finished digging graves for Wilson and the rest of the Jets, New York suddenly flipped the switch. The Jets enter Monday riding a three-game win streak that's pushed them back over .500 at 4-3, primarily thanks to their defense surrendering just 15 points per game and propelling them to a +3 turnover differential.
The Jets defense deserves the majority of the credit for winning the turnover battle the last few weeks, having forced seven turnovers in the last three games. But to give some credit where it’s due, Wilson has also demonstrated much better ball security in the passing game as of late — he’s thrown just one interception in the Jets’ last five games (170 pass attempts).
This play is gross. There’s no getting around it. Wilson’s name has a loser stench associated with it, and whenever this prop misses, it makes you feel incredibly dumb.
But the reality is the Jets are winning games by playing great defense and protecting the football, and Wilson deserves some praise for successfully adopting that mindset and reflecting it in his recent decision making as a passer. This is great value at plus money.
Pick: Zach Wilson Under 0.5 Interception (+125)
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Justin Herbert
Over 0.5 Interception (+110)
The Chargers are a talented bunch, but under head coach Brandon Staley, the kryptonite for this team has been their inability to avoid unforced errors, and that's remained true this season.
The Bolts seem to discover new ways to lose weekly, and prior to their 17-point victory over Chicago, their losing method of the month was Justin Herbert interceptions.
Herbert managed to keep a clean sheet with zero INTs against the Bears last Sunday. However, that hasn’t exactly been the norm of late. Prior to his latest outing, Herbert had thrown an interception in three straight games, and he was picked off twice in an ugly loss to Kansas City.
On the flip side, New York’s defense has been great, especially in the passing game and turnover department. The Jets secondary ranks fifth in passing yards allowed per game and fourth in yards allowed per attempt. And as a unit, their defense has forced multiple turnovers in four of seven contests, currently ranked fourth in takeaways per game.
This strikes me as another great value play at plus money.
Pick: Justin Herbert Over 0.5 Interception (+110)
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Quentin Johnston
Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
It’s beginning to feel like Groundhog Day in the Chargers' wide receiver room.
Josh Palmer re-aggravated a knee injury in the Bolts’ win over Chicago and joins Mike Williams on the sidelines. As a result, rookie Quentin Johnston is finally expected to receive an opportunity to shine as the No. 2 option behind Keenan Allen, who draws a tough matchup against Sauce Gardner.
Johnston rarely saw the field prior to Palmer’s latest injury. The rookie entered last week averaging just 11 receiving yards on 1.2 receptions per game while playing on less than 55% of the Chargers’ offensive snaps in six straight games to begin his NFL career.
However, following Palmer’s exit against the Bears, Johnston stepped in and immediately became a factor for L.A.’s offense, finishing the game with five catches on six targets for 50 yards – most importantly, he was on the field for a season-high 70% of snaps.
The Chargers love to throw the ball, regardless of the circumstances. They are sixth in the league in passing yards per game, and Herbert is averaging 35.6 pass attempts per game over the last three weeks.
With multiple pass-catchers sidelined and the Bolts’ No. 1 wideout drawing a matchup against one of the top corners in the league, I have to imagine Johnston clears his receiving yards line of 34.5.
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