Isiah Pacheco Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Chiefs vs. Broncos | 4:25 p.m. ET
The Chiefs and Broncos are set for a rematch after playing each other just two weeks ago. The weather forecast looks bleak as snow is already on the ground, and the temperature will be in the low 20s.
Since Week 3, Isiah Pacheco is averaging 26.4 receiving yards per game, eclipsing at least 16 receiving yards in four of his last five games. His improvement in pass protection has earned him a role as an all-purpose back.
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He gets a favorable matchup today as the Broncos allow an average of 52.3 receiving yards per game to running backs (which is the third-highest mark in the league). They also rank third worst in DVOA against pass-catching backs.
Additionally, they struggle with quick routes, as they are ranked 32nd in DVOA against short passes. In the last seven games, the Broncos have allowed at least 15 receiving yards through the air to 11 different running backs.
Despite competition from Jerick McKinnon, I love Pacheco’s chances of going over his receiving prop today because of the mix of cold weather and a friendly opponent.
Pick: Isiah Pacheco Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-120 | BetMGM)
