Eagles Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | -300 |
Jets Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
Action Network has everything need to know and more about Eagles vs. Jets odds and picks for Week 6, including the spread, total and expert prediction.
The reigning NFC Champions are road favorites at MetLife Stadium, as the Eagles enter at -6.5 on the spread across most books while the game total is 42.5 or 43.
The Eagles are undefeated at 5-0, but they seem to only be operating at 80-90% of their potential due to uncharacteristic underperformance from Jalen Hurts and the offense. The Jets, on the other hand, feel like they are doing everything they can — with Zach Wilson finally showing some positive signs at quarterback — but it still is not enough.
Continue reading for our preview and Eagles vs. Jets pick and prediction.
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The clock is slowly dwindling on Philadelphia to fix its struggles. After this week, the Eagles have a daunting stretch from Weeks 7-15 where they have seven games against potential playoff teams.
The red-zone struggles have been a hot topic in Philadelphia. Tension has escalated with Jason Kelce showing sideline frustration and detailing the struggles on his podcast. This sounds like champagne problems for a team second in yards per drive and fourth in points per drive.
However, Philly has yet to face a top-16 defense, according to Pro Football Focus. They will now face the sixth-ranked Jets defense. The Jets specialize in red-zone defense as they rank third in red-zone efficiency, according to Pro-Football-Reference.
The red zone is the only piece missing for this highly productive Eagles offense. They are eighth in net pass yards per attempt and sixth in rush yards per attempt. Settling for field goals may cost them when that tough stretch arrives.
Defensively, the Eagles are not the Goliath they were last year — that said, they are still playing well.
They allow the fourth fewest yards per carry and 12th-fewest net yards per pass. Their points and yards per drive are 20th and 13th, respectively, but that is mostly due to garbage time. Games against New England and Minnesota were blowouts until soft coverage by Philly allowed them to rack up yards and points.
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Turning to the Jets, their offense had a fire lit last week.
Breece Hall has steadily increased his workload all year and it looks like New York finally set him free. Hall ran the ball 22 times for 177 yards. He took his first carry of the second half for a 72-yard touchdown and that would open the floodgates to four consecutive scoring drives for New York.
Hall’s burst and big-play ability forces defenses to commit to slowing the run game, which takes a massive burden off Zach Wilson.
Wilson has surprisingly been hitting his stride and had his two best PFF grades over the last two weeks. A complementary running game that reduces the number of throwing situations for Wilson could be a big boost for this team.
Defensively, the Jets' numbers are underwhelming compared to a year ago. New York is 11th in yards per drive allowed and 12th in points per drive allowed. The trouble comes from exposure though. New York’s offense is 30th in average drive length. This means the defense is on the field all the time.
Exhaustion hurts the most in the run game and the numbers show. The Jets defense is 25th in yards per carry allowed. This could be a problem against an offense like Philly’s.
Eagles vs. Jets
Betting Picks & Predictions
Over a touchdown spread for a home underdog seems like a big risk either way. The Eagles have not shown they can score the touchdowns needed to provide confidence while trusting the Jets offense is a risk I’m not willing to take.
Instead, looking at the total, I think the under is the way to go.
The Jets want/need to run the ball to protect their quarterback. They are going against one of the best pass rushes in the NFL. Exposing a gunslinging gambler who holds the ball to that kind of pressure spells trouble. Trusting Breece Hall is a much safer option for an offense that relies on its defense.
As for the Eagles, their offense is diverse enough that they will take what you give them. Against a defense that ranks 25th in yards per rush allowed, that seems fairly obvious.
This may end up being a difficult game to watch with 50-60 run plays and the ball moving four or five yards at a time. The good news is we can take advantage of it by betting on the under!
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