Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props
For our Raiders vs Chiefs player props, we have bets in three markets for three key Kansas City offensive players. Click on a player's name and pick below to navigate our picks, and Merry Christmas!
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Raiders vs. Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes
Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
By Matt Trebby
This is a buy-low spot on Mahomes’ rushing yards, which have bottomed out over the last four weeks.
Mahomes has cleared this total just once in the last four games after going over in nine of the Chiefs’ first 10 games of the season. Sean Koerner has him pegged for 19 rushing yards in this Christmas Day matchup.
I’m betting that there will be positive regression for Mahomes’ rushing yards soon. Kansas City is entering must-win territory for playoff seeding in the AFC, and he tends to run more in big games.
Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
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Raiders vs. Chiefs
Travis Kelce
Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Kelce is in a great spot to bounce-back after a disappointing outing last week. The Chiefs, mainly Mahomes, have a history of trying to get his tight end involved in the game early following a performance below Kelce's usual standard. It also helps that the Raiders are one of the worst teams in the league at defending the tight end.
Back in Week 12 when these teams met, Kelce caught six of seven targets for 91 yards. This season, the Raiders have allowed the second highest completion percentage to the position at 78.8%. Furthermore, they also give up 5.6 receptions per game to tight ends, ranking them 27th in the NFL. Expect a minimum nine targets for the Chiefs' star tight end in a highly exploitable matchup.
I'd bet this up to 67.5.
Pick: Travis Kelce Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Raiders vs. Chiefs
Rashee Rice
Over 6.5 Receptions (-114)
By Sam Farley
This prop opened with a plus-money number on the over, so I grabbed that as quickly as I could.
Over the past month, the Chiefs have realized what we've all been saying this season: Rashee Rice is the best pass-catcher on the team not named Travis Kelce. In this past four games, the rookie has caught 32 of 38 targets, with seven catches being his lowest receptions total.
With respect to Justin Watson, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Kadarius Toney, they aren't as good as Rice and the team is now heavily featuring him. We've had a month of evidence to show that the team are going to feed him so follow the numbers and back Over 6.5 receptions on Christmas.
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