Buccaneers vs Titans Odds
| Buccaneers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-2.5 -120 | 39 -110o / -110u | -145 |
| Titans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+2.5 +100" | 39 -110o / -110u | +125 |
Action came in on Tampa Bay on Saturday, which moved Buccaneers vs. Titans odds to Bucs -2.5. The game total is either 38.5 or 39 across the board.
The Buccaneers started strong but have rapidly regressed in recent weeks and are currently on a four-game losing streak. Things haven’t been much better for the Titans, who are just 1-3 in their last four games — though they do have some hype at quarterback with rookie Will Levis taking over for Ryan Tannehill.
As these two teams look to rebound, let's preview the game and make my Buccaneers vs. Titans prediction.
Buccaneers vs Titans Prediction
Buccaneers vs. Titans
Matchup Analysis
Life has been rough for Tampa Bay and its fans since the bye week. The main issue with the Buccaneers has been their defense.
Before the bye, Tampa was giving up yards but made up for it with turnovers. Tampa allowed 318 yards per game but masked it by averaging 2.5 forced turnovers per game. Since the bye, they have averaged 1.25 turnovers per game. Without turnovers to stop opposing drives, their opponents are up to 426 yards per game.
The good news for Tampa is that even when teams move the ball, it bends but doesn't break. The Buccaneers are second in red zone defense — that will play well against the Titans, who are 31st in red-zone offense.
Offensively, the bye week provided an opportunity for the Buccaneers to adjust their offense. Tampa pivoted to utilizing a pass-heavy attack, ranking eighth in pass rate over its last three games, per TeamRankings. While the score doesn’t reflect the success of the adjustment, Tampa has gained at least 250 yards in each game. Before the bye, it achieved that just twice.
The matchup against Houston is the first time the production led to points, though the Buccaneers' 37 were the highest of the year. As long as the Bucs continue to move the ball, the points should come.
Bet Tennessee vs. Tampa Bay at FanDuel
Turning to the Titans, moving from Ryan Tannehill to Will Levis has provided some much-needed pop to their offense.
Against the Falcons, this led to three passing touchdowns of over 30 yards. Against the Steelers, while the touchdown production was not there, Tennessee did manage to score on four of its drives. Each week Levis should improve, particularly in situational football. That should lead to more touchdowns than field goals.
The passing game is not the only aspect improving due to the move to Levis. In both of Levis' starts, Derrick Henry has produced over 100 scrimmage yards. Before the quarterback switch, Henry exceeded that mark three times in six games. It is well known this offense is built around Henry. If starting Levis increases his production, that is a massive boost.
The Titans defense has been the AFC version of the Buccaneers. They rank 25th in yards allowed per drive but 18th in points allowed per drive.
Much like Tampa, the driving cause is their ability to play a bend-but-don’t-break style. The Titans rank third in red zone defense efficiency, per Pro Football Reference. If the Bucs move the ball as they have recently, that red zone defense will need to show up.
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Buccaneers vs. Titans
Betting Picks & Predictions
Picking a side in this game was difficult given both teams' quarterback situations. Baker Mayfield and Will Levis can both make incredible field-flipping throws, but they also can't be trusted on a down-to-down basis.
Rather than trust either of them to produce, the right angle is to trust the defenses. Both can allow teams to move the ball and sustain drives, but buckle down in the red zone. Giving up those yards burns clock and preventing touchdowns keeps either from running up the score.
That’s why I’m avoiding backing either offense and betting against both. The under is the way to go.
Be sure to shop around and get the best number possible, with 39s hanging around as of Saturday night. Use our NFL odds page for the latest numbers.
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