Usher Props: Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds & Results
Usher delivered a dynamic halftime show that saw a big underdog hit the "First Song" prop, as well as two guests who weren't on the odds board.
BetMGM and FanDuel had Usher props and Super Bowl halftime show odds for Usher's performance posted, but only in their Ontario (Canada) and United Kingdom markets.
I targeted two specific Usher prop markets. Check them out, as well as the results of each bet following his performance.
Usher Super Bowl Halftime Show Results, Odds
Odds according to BetMGM Ontario
First Song
| Song | Odds |
|---|---|
| My Way | -110 |
| OMG | +150 |
| Yeah! | +700 |
| Love in This Club | +700 |
| DJ Got Us Fallin' In Love | +1100 |
| Burn | +2500 |
| Good Good | +3000 |
| My Boo | +3000 |
| Superstar | +3000 |
| Boyfriend | +4000 |
Result: In an upset, it was "Caught Up," which was not on the board at BetMGM.
Last Song To Be Played
| Song | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yeah! | -195 |
| Burn | +230 |
| Confessions, Part II | +1300 |
| DJ Got Us Falling in Love | +1300 |
| Sombody to Love | +1600 |
| My Way | +1700 |
| Without You | +1800 |
| You Make Me Wanna | +1900 |
| Love In This Club | +2200 |
| I Don't Mind | +2500 |
| OMG | +2500 |
| U Remind Me | +2500 |
| My Boo | +3700 |
| Debut New Song | +6000 |
| Good Good | +6000 |
Result: Yeah! (-195)
Will Usher Debut A New Song During The Halftime Show?
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -120 |
| No | +100 |
Result: No.
Usher Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Outfit Changes
| Total: 1.5 | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over | -200 |
| Under | +142 |
Result: Over (-200)
Usher Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Sunglasses on First Song
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -270 |
| No | +205 |
Result: No (+205)
Super Bowl Props: Gatorade Color
Artist to Perform on Stage During Halftime Show
| Artist | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lil Jon | -1000 |
| Post Malone | -500 |
| Ludacris | -400 |
| Pitbull | -167 |
| Will.I.Am | -133 |
| Nicki Minaj | +200 |
| Lil Wayne | +400 |
| Taylor Swift | +500 |
| David Guetta | +650 |
| Marshmello | +650 |
| 21 Savage | +800 |
| 50 Cent | +1000 |
| DJ Khaled | +1000 |
| Jay Z | +1000 |
| Sean Diddy | +1000 |
| Beyonce | +1400 |
| Miley Cyrus | +2000 |
Results:Lil Jon, Ludacris, Will.I.Am; Alicia Keys and H.E.R. also appeared with Usher.
Super Bowl Halftime Show Props, Picks
Initially, based on my research, I would've told you that “Yeah!” or “Confessions Part II” will not be the closing songs. Odds movement on Friday, though, has me unwilling to bet that.
On Friday, "Yeah!" moved from +100 to -490 on Friday. I'm not sure if the script leaked or what, but movement like that has me hesitant to bet this market. I'd still lean toward "Without You" but am not willing to bet it. As of Sunday afternoon, "Yeah!" is down to -195, but "Burn" was even at -125 for a bit this morning.
As someone who has attended Usher concerts and watched nearly every one of his live shows since his release of the album “8701”, these are “middle of the setlist” songs that strike nostalgia when they start. They’re meant to be uplifting tracks that he sings to bring the crowd back to his level.
In fact, those songs would more likely be the opener as it would reestablish familiarity with the King of R&B.
The song I’d bet on for him to close with is “Without You,” which was produced by David Guetta.
This song came out 12 years ago as a single for Guetta, but it is easily one of the most crowd-pleasing songs Usher has ever done. It also lends itself to a large stadium crowd with choreographed dancers and a classic dubstep drop.
When I attended an Usher concert in 2015, this was the closing song for the show and for the remaining tour dates on the setlist.
During the performance, he had dancers on stage and dancers surrounding the floor-seated crowd. Similar to how a Super Bowl performance could be with dancers positioned all across the field.
I mean, listen to the last minute of that song and tell me that’s not a perfect send-off for Usher, the crowd and the viewing audience. The NFL and Apple aren’t stupid. They’re going to use what works, and for Usher, this has worked for years.
Here’s the frequency that Usher has closed “Without You” in our Halftime Show preview from our own predictions:
The only other song I’d consider is “DJ Got Us Falling In Love" but with that being one of his more recent successful singles, I project this to also be during the middle of the setlist. Perhaps even part of a medley/mashup of other bangers he’s done.
Lean: Without You (+750)
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The big question that BetMGM has posed to the bettors is what will Usher's first song be? The sportsbook has 10 songs with odds.
The favorite for the first song is Usher's "My Way" at -110. The next most likely is "OMG" at +150 odds. After those two, there is a significant drop-off. "Love in This Club" and "Yeah!" are both at +700 odds at BetMGM. "DJ Got Us Fallin' In Love," meanwhile, is at +1100.
Usher's first song will likely be one of those five, but there are some long-shot options that could be worth a look, like "Good Good," "Burn," "My Boo," "Superstar" and "Boyfriend."
BetMGM clearly expects a few guest appearances during the halftime show, as Lil Jon, Post Malone, Ludacris, Putbull and Will.I.Am are all listed at minus money.
We know Taylor Swift will be in attendance in Las Vegas. But would she join Usher on stage? You can bet on that at +500.
I almost fell out of my chair when I saw the new song market.
This would be a very risky move from Usher to debut a new song with such limited stage time. The average halftime show is 12-15 minutes long and a lot of people who are tuning in are either watching for the high school nostalgia of Usher or too young to remember his peak and mainly know him from playlists on streaming apps.
The latter remembers the great songs (Yeah!, Confessions Part II, U Make Me Wanna) but sometimes struggles to remember the periphery crooning songs of his catalog (U Got It Bad!, Burn, Nice & Slow).
The amount of songs to be played over/under is at 8.5 (-250 / +170) with it steamed to the Over. For a quick exercise, I’ll list seven Usher songs in no particular order that are all existing hits and should likely be featured in the halftime show:
- My Way (favored to be the opening song)
- Yeah!
- Confessions Part II
- DJ Got Us Fallin In Love
- OMG
- You Make Me Wanna
- Without You
Each of these songs I’m quite confident will be played at halftime even though it did pain me to omit “U Don’t Have To Call” and “U Remind Me,” as those were staples of my youth.
If we’re at seven songs and he’s likely to play nine or more, this means you also have to consider songs he had features with to be included in the setlist like No. 1 single “My Boo” with Alicia Keys or “Lovers and Friends” with Lil’ Jon and Ludacris. I could see the former being played if Keys is able to make it to Vegas as it already seems like Luda and the Crunk King will be in attendance for potential collaboration on “Yeah!!”
Finally, what about the singles off his new album “Coming Home”? Great question! That’s one of the main reasons why we like “No” because the four singles of “Good Good,” “Risk It All,” “Ruined Me” and “Standing Next To You” from his new album aren’t considered “new” to the sportsbook rules. This means it would need to be a song nobody had ever heard until it was released on Friday, Feb. 9, and for the crowd to then get behind it. I don’t buy it.
I’ve listened to the new album a few times and while it has some fun tracks, no songs stood out as ones that needed to be debuted in front of 50 million people. This is Usher’s biggest performance of his life (even though he already appeared during a Super Bowl Halftime Show). He may have a song called, “Risk It All” but that doesn’t mean he is going to do that literally and potentially have backlash from fans waiting to hear songs they’re familiar with. Especially given this show is more of a “comeback”/coronation for the R&B star.
If you take yourself out of the fan zone for a second, do the math and think logically, this should be closer to -150 for “No” given the time constraints, existing catalog and having the newest singles included for potential outs.
Pick: No (+100)
