Commanders vs Jets Prediction & Odds | NFL Week 16 Preview
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3 -120 | 37 -110o / -110u | +125 |
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3 +100 | 37 -110o / -110u | -150 |
Commanders vs Jets odds have the Jets listed as three-point home favorites with an over/under of 37 total points. My NFL pick is on the over/under.
It’s been a rough end to the year for both the Commanders and Jets, who have each won just one game since the start of November.
The Commanders have lost five straight and the last four by at least a touchdown. The Jets seem like they start every game down a touchdown because their offense practically spots the opposition points with critically bad turnovers. Trusting either of these teams to beat the spread seems far too risky.
Let’s take a closer look and see if we can find an angle to take on the total instead for my Commanders vs Jets prediction.
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Commanders vs Jets Odds Prediction
Commanders vs. Jets Preview
This year has been far from what the Jets hoped for when they brought in Aaron Rodgers and his requested receivers. New York has regressed offensively, dropping to last in the league in yards per drive and points per drive.
Since their bye, things have only gotten worse. New York is averaging 11 points and 238 yards of offense in its last eight games. The Jets' numbers would be even more disappointing without an outlier performance against the Texans two weeks ago.
Before their bye, the Jets averaged 1.33 turnovers per game. Since their bye, that is up to 2.5. This offense already struggles to move the ball, so putting it into a negative game script through turnovers just means the Jets are the architects of their own destruction.
Defensively, the Jets have played at a top-five level. They rank second in yards per drive allowed and fifth in points per drive allowed. However, the offense shooting itself in the foot has worn on the morale of this defense.
They simply look unmotivated and hopeless the moment the offense gifts opponents a touchdown. With little left to play for and an uninspiring offense, the question is how many Jets defenders will make “business decisions” in the final few weeks of the season?
Commanders vs. Jets Picks | FanDuel
As for the Commanders, trading away both of their starting edge rushers made it clear they were focused on next year, and the players have lived up to that message.
Sam Howell was competing for the league lead in passing yards, but failed to produce the last two weeks, throwing for 102 yards against the Rams and 127 against the Dolphins. The Rams game was so atrocious that Washington put Jacoby Brissett in and he outproduced Howell in the final two drives alone.
Defensively, Washington looks like a team that just gave up its two best edge rushers. The Commanders are allowing 35.6 points per game in their last five contests and gave up over 400 yards of offense to every opponent except the Giants. They are the worst in the NFL against the pass, allowing 7.4 net yards per attempt.
This defense was bad before letting two of its best players go. Now, teams have been able to do whatever they like.
Commanders vs. Jets Prediction & Pick
Neither of these teams has shown any reason to be trusted.
Instead of putting faith in either, we are going to follow the public and trust these teams to let us down. According to the Action Network Pro Report, 91% of the bets are on the under and 98% of the money is on the under.
New York has shown no signs it can score regularly even against a defense as poor as Washington’s.
As for the Commanders, Howell has led this offense to success in garbage time. However, New York will not be able to score enough to put Washington in that situation.
Nearly all bettors are in on this. Take the under in a game that might be hard to watch.
Pick: Under 37 (Play to 35.5) |
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