Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 10, 2023

Astros at Orioles

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Houston Astros

5-2

4 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
H.Brown			5.09	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 5-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

August 10, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL +106

1.06u

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.5u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.5u

BAL +100

$1.00

HOU -115

$155.00

HOU -114

0.57u

HOU -122

1.22u

No reason to not take them again

BAL +102

1.02u

HOU -120

BAL +100

HOU -120 (F5)

0.6u

Bet to -122

HOU -110

0.55u

Bet to -111

BAL +100

0.5u

Brown has a run on Kremer, but the BAL pen has a run and a half on the HOU one via L30 day estimators (so much good that did Tue night) - BAL also has the slightly better offense v RHP (3 pts wRC+), which is just about a wash. Give them some small credit for being at home and I have them slight favorites.

Featured Insight
Orioles Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Astros have struck out just 20% since last season -- third-lowest in MLB. Orioles have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- 10th-lowest in MLB.

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The Astros are 25-17 (.595) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of .984 this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 168 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Aaron Loup has allowed an OPS of .814 (161 PAs) this season -- 15th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Yordan Alvarez is slugging .595 this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 168 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Dean Kremer has allowed a SLG of .527 vs left-handed batters this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (97/170) against Hunter Brown this season -- tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 95th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strike rate of 70% (271/387) with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-3	0-1
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-3	1-0
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-2	0-1
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 9th	HOU	L 2-8	-	-	-
Aug 8th	HOU	L 6-7	-	-	-
Aug 6th	NYM	W 2-0	-	-	-
Aug 5th	NYM	W 7-3	-	-	-
Aug 4th	NYM	W 10-3	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Zach Dezenzo
LF
Dezenzo is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	97	6	7	5
RP.Maton, P	8	1	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	4-5	2	1	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	2-5	1	1	2
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	91	7	5	2
LC.Perez, P	19	0.2	1	0
RY.Cano, P	10	0.1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	2-4	1	1	2
2G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4R.McKenna, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4R.McKenna, CF	0-0	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Hays, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9J.McCann, C	2-3	1	0	1