Astros vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Astros at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA
4 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Michael King logoM.KingSan Diego Padres logo2.9513-9
Hunter Brown logoH.BrownHouston Astros logo3.4911-9

Astros at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
0-2
-1.5
+1.5-205
o7.5+101
+101
Padres
4-3
u7.5
-1.5+172
u7.5-122
-121
location pinWednesday 1:40 a.m.
September 18, 2024
PETCO ParkSan Diego
Astros vs. Padres Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
95d ago
Last 30d: 145-154-9 (-3.8u)
SD -115 (Live)
1u
I hate the astros (yanks fan)
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
96d ago
Last 30d: 27-31-0 (+11.9u)
SD -120
1.2u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
96d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
M.Machado o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.83u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
96d ago
Last 30d: 298-275-6 (+1.6u)
Under 7.5-120
0.83u
#ProSystem . under for winning teams including wind direction and temps Overall: 554-323-48,63% (ROI:21%) Season:6-5-0,55% (ROI:4%)
Picks  Office
Picks Office
96d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
SD -115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice San Diego has been quite impressive, taking 36-15 in the last 51 games, thus proving to be in consistent form coming into this game. Playing on grass has been a strength for the Padres, where they have posted 35-16 in their last 51 games, and this further elucidates their capability to fire under such conditions. The Padres have fared well head-to-head, the Astros but have won only four of the last 13 meetings between the two clubs, a fact that gives reason to believe San Diego is well-placed for victory here. The San Diego bullpen continues to be a big strong point. They've threatened with a very solid 2.67 ERA, compared to Houston's bullpen ERA of 3.11, which is a notable advantage. Recent form is, in fact, even better for the bullpen of the Padres, carrying an ultra-low 0.68 WHIP over their last three games compared to Houston's 0.99, signaling tighter control and fewer baserunners allowed in critical situations. Starting pitching favored the Padres, too, with their recent ERA of 2.43 significantly outshining Houston's 4.26, reflecting better performance from the mound across the board. Offensively, too, the Padres will have an advantage. They score more runs per game, averaging 5.16 to Houston's 4.75, with a higher slugging percentage at .420 compared to their opponents' .418. That alone in run production could make all the difference in a game that may be decided with offensive explosions. Furthermore, the starters for San Diego have done a better job in downtown opponents' batting average at .222, while Houston allows .230. This hit-prevention difference, over the course of a full game, can add up. For Houston, a problem comes in the form of recent Hunter Brown, who is coming off an outing against San Diego with 6 earned runs in 4.1 innings on September 8th, turning into a blowout 11-2 loss. His last start against Oakland wasn't much better, as he let in 5 earned runs over 5 innings, continuing his inconsistent run of performances. Meanwhile, Padres' Michael King has been a beacon of consistency, having a season ERA of 3.06 and WHIP of 1.21 while being in excellent control throughout the season. He has been even better of late, with a 2.35 ERA over his last three starts. King's friendly walk rate combined with eight strikeouts in his last start is a good indicator that he's coming into this matchup at the top of his game. Also, the Padres hit right-handed pitchers well, posting a .271 batting average against righties, higher than Houston's .259. The struggles for Brown mixed with how the Padres punish right-handers could only make this mismatch fall decidedly in San Diego's favor.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
96d ago
Last 30d: 97-74-4 (+21.5u)
Under 7.5-120
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
96d ago
Last 30d: 79-92-1 (-25.3u)
Over 7.5+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
96d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 7.5+105
0.5u
Bet to -102

PRO Insights

Astros logo

Astros

HOU Insights
  • Astros logoAstros left-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against RHP over the last week -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of just 13% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.
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Padres logo

Padres

SD Insights
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    Astros vs. Padres Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Astros vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

    28%

    Bets%

    72%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Padres
    82-7835-4547-3343-5737-19
    Astros
    81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Padres
    81-74-544-34-237-40-351-44-528-28
    Astros
    65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Padres
    93-6945-3547-3358-4231-25
    Astros
    88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Sep 17thHOUW 3-1-1.5 WU 8SD -118
    Sep 15th@SFW 4-3-1.5 LU 8SD -117
    Sep 15th@SFW 8-0-1.5 WO 7.5SD -162
    Sep 14th@SFW 5-0-1.5 WU 7SD -120
    Sep 12th@SEAL 2-5-1.5 LU 7SEA -112

    Astros vs. Padres Injury Updates

    Astros Injuries

    • Lance McCullers
      P

      McCullers is out with arm

      Out

    • Cristian Javier
      P

      Javier is out with elbow

      Out

    • Luis Garcia
      P

      Garcia is out with elbow

      Out

    Padres Injuries

      Astros vs. Padres Box Score
      Astros Player Stats
      Projected
      PITCHERPCIPKER
      Hunter Brown logoRH.Brown, P95632
      Bryan Abreu logoRB.Abreu, P21110
      Ryan Pressly logoRR.Pressly, P150.211
      Josh Hader logoLJ.Hader, P121.120
      Hector Neris logoRH.Neris, P18110
      HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
      Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B1-5000
      Grae Kessinger logo1G.Kessinger, 2B0-0100
      Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, DH1-4100
      Kyle Tucker logo3K.Tucker, RF2-4101
      Yainer Diaz logo4Y.Diaz, C1-5000
      Alex Bregman logo5A.Bregman, 3B2-4100
      Jon Singleton logo6J.Singleton, 1B1-5001
      Jeremy Pena logo7J.Pena, SS1-4001
      Jason Heyward logo8J.Heyward, LF0-4000
      Mauricio Dubon logo9M.Dubon, CF0-3000
      Victor Caratini logo9V.Caratini, PH0-1000
      Jake Meyers logo9J.Meyers, CF0-0000
      Padres Player Stats
      Projected
      PITCHERPCIPKER
      Michael King logoRM.King, P87772
      Jason Adam logoRJ.Adam, P22121
      Robert Suarez logoRR.Suarez, P12110
      Adrian Morejon logoLA.Morejon, P90.100
      Jeremiah Estrada logoRJ.Estrada, P50.210
      HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
      Luis Arraez logo1L.Arraez, DH0-5000
      Brandon Lockridge logo1B.Lockridge, PR0-0000
      Fernando Tatis logo2F.Tatis, RF2-5200
      Jurickson Profar logo3J.Profar, LF1-4000
      Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B2-5112
      Jackson Merrill logo5J.Merrill, CF0-4000
      Xander Bogaerts logo6X.Bogaerts, SS0-4000
      Jake Cronenworth logo7J.Cronenworth, 2B0-2000
      Donovan Solano logo8D.Solano, 1B1-4000
      Tyler Wade logo8T.Wade, PR0-0000
      Kyle Higashioka logo9K.Higashioka, C0-2000
      David Peralta logo9D.Peralta, PH0-1000
      Elias Diaz logo9E.Diaz, C0-0000

      Astros vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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      Astros at Padres Team Totals

      MatchupOverUnder
      Astros
      0-2
      o3.5-105
      u3.5-125
      Padres
      4-3
      o3.5-120
      u3.5-110