Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2025

Blue Jays at Mets

5:40 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

10-8

1 - 2

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			4.22	9-6
B.Francis			6.05	2-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 10-8	+1.5	+1.5-185	o7-111	+125
Mets 0-0	u7.5	-1.5+154	u7-108	-150

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 06, 2025

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

TOR +111 (Live)

Phillies stink man

Hayden Senger 1st Plate App Strikeout +250

0.5u

Francis has extreme platoon splits as he strikes out RHB +13% of the time. Senger (R) is an absolute disaster and I’m projecting this closer to +185

B.Francis u4.5 Hits Allowed-145

0.6u

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

Mets pitching rolling — 1.00 ERA this series, .203 opp BA, just 3 ER allowed in 3 games. Toronto bats ice cold: 2 runs or fewer in 3 of last 4, .278 AVG this series but just 1 XBH. Citi Field slow — avg 5.3 total runs through first 5 home games. Peterson, Francis can be both sharp — Peterson 36% K-rate, .251 xBA, soft contact. Francis great ground ball rate, sub-90 EV, high weak-hit %. Both limit walks, neither giving up barrels. Solid profiles for a tight, low-run game. Mets bullpen lights-out: 2.03 ERA, .191 opp AVG, 76 K in 62 IP. Jays’ pen shaky on year (4.41 ERA), but solid this series — just 1 ER past 6th inning. Lineups cold with RISP. Cold temps + wind in = pitcher friendly

B.Baty u0.5 Hits-105

0.95u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+310

0.5u

B.Francis o4.5 Ks-130

1.9u

9.5% ev

M.Vientos o0.5 HR+450

0.12u

2.79% ev

TOR +120 (F5)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

$1.00

P.Alonso o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

TOR +124

0.5u

TOR +128

V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500

0.4u

D.Peterson o3.5 Ks-160

0.8u

B.Nimmo o0.5 HR+520

0.12u

2.99% ev

Under 7.5-106

0.5u

Bet to 7 (+100)

TOR +116

10u

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	TOR	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -135
Apr 4th	TOR	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -138
Apr 2nd	@MIA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -214
Apr 1st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Mar 31st	@MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -190

Tylor Megill
P
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Bowden Francis
P
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	90	5.1	6	2
RC.Green, P	21	1.2	1	0
LB.Little, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-2	0	0
4A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	1
5A.Kirk, DH	2-4	0	0
5G.Springer, PR	0-0	0	0
5G.Springer, DH	0-0	0	0
6E.Clement, 3B	0-2	0	0
7D.Schneider, LF	0-2	0	0
7A.Roden, PH	0-1	0	0
7A.Roden, LF	0-1	0	0
8T.Heineman, C	1-4	1	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0
9N.Lukes, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	91	4.2	3	1
RM.Kranick, P	14	1.1	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	18	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	1	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	0	1
4B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	1
5J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0
5S.Marte, PH	0-1	0	0
5S.Marte, DH	0-1	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	1-3	0	0
7B.Baty, 2B	0-3	0	0
7L.Acuna, 2B	0-0	0	0
8J.Siri, CF	0-3	0	0
9H.Senger, C	1-2	1	0