Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Brewers at Mets

5:40 pm • MLB Network

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

7 - 6

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
D.Hall			5.02	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-198	o7.5-110	+110
Mets 7-6	-1.5+164	u7.5-110	-130

Saturday 5:40 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

P.Alonso o2.5 RBI+900

0.25u

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

0.42u

P.Alonso o1.5 Singles+375

0.5u

P.Alonso o0.5 Singles+140

1.4u

D.Hall o4.5 Ks-104

Over 7.5-104

$50.00

NYM -124

L.Severino u15.5 Outs-135

0.74u

We’ll see if he gets into the 6th inning - he’s been awesome in spring training but even in his last outing only threw 30 pitches. Averaged 15.1 last year but only exceeded the 5.1 innings in 44% of games. He averaged 86.2 pitches last year with the Yankees, when he had thrown fewer than 90 this hit rate drops to 23% to the over

MIL +105

3.15u

MIL +110

1.1u

Under 8-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

NYM -126

1.26u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the BrewersRPs since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
MetsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB. Brewers Right Handed Hitters have struck out 26% against LHP since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Mets are just 11-110 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

30% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 86th Percentile. 37% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Luis Severino had an ERA of 6.65 (89.1 IP)in the 2023 season -- 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 29th	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -115
Mar 25th	@NYY	L 0-3	-	-	-
Mar 24th	WSH	W 10-1	-	-	-
Mar 24th	@MIA	L 1-5	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	HOU	L 5-13	+1.5 L	O 9.5	HOU +149

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Hall, P	73	4	1	2
RE.Peguero, P	26	2	0	0
RT.Megill, P	19	1	3	0
RB.Wilson, P	8	0.1	0	2
LH.Milner, P	4	0.2	0	1
RA.Uribe, P	18	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	3-5	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-5	1	0	1
4W.Adames, SS	2-5	2	0	1
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, DH	3-4	2	1	4
7O.Dunn, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, RF	2-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	88	5	6	6
LJ.Diekman, P	12	1	1	0
RY.Ramirez, P	7	0.1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	10	0.2	1	0
RA.Ottavino, P	24	1	2	1
RE.Diaz, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
4T.Taylor, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Marte, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	3-4	2	1	2
8Z.Short, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, PH	1-1	1	1	3
8B.Baty, 3B	1-1	1	1	3
9H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0