Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2024

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Chicago Cubs

0-0

0 - 7

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-130	o7.5-119	+164
Braves 0-2	-1.5+110	u7.5-102	-198

Tuesday 11:20 p.m.

May 14, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL -190 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -200

Under 8-115

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

C.Sale u6.5 Ks-120

0.6u

M.Olson o0.5 HR+320

0.38u

J.Taillon u5.5 Hits Allowed+100

Ballpark pal projects 4.42 Hits and +ev bet with devig odds of -122 giving value to this number

C.Sale o6.5 Ks+105

1.05u

M.Olson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

0.5u

Under 8-115

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Cubs RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 29-36 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Michael Harris is batting .310 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Jameson Taillon has thrown a breaking pitch 50% of the time since last season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

61% of Marcell Ozuna fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 59% of Jameson Taillon fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

10 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (157 balls in play) -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 89.9

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155
May 10th	@NYM	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -147
May 8th	BOS	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -216

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	85	4	2	2
RJ.Cuas, P	34	2	1	0
RT.Miller, P	21	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Wisdom, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Tauchman, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Madrigal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Sale, P	92	7	9
LA.Bummer, P	10	1	1
RJ.Stephens, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	1	4
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-3	1	1	1
7O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	1-3	1	0	0