Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2024

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

2-3

0 - 2

Atlanta Braves

3-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 2-3	+1.5-180	o8-112	+119
Braves 3-2	-1.5+150	u8-110	-139

Monday 11:20 p.m.

May 13, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

R.Lopez o5.5 Ks+130

0.5u

Getting a nice price for a guy w/ 5 to 7 every start. Facing 23-24 batters per start. No CHC LU yet, but projects near average K rate.

CHC +125

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-124

0.5u

Over 7.5-113

1.13u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

$1.00

S.Imanaga u1.5 BB-110

1.1u

Under 8-115

0.87u

Under 8-110

2.73u

R.Lopez o5.5 Ks+122

0.5u

CHC +114 (F5)

0.5u

Under 8-122

0.82u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

0.5u

S.Imanaga o5.5 Ks+107

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 25% over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Cubs RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. A.J. Minter had a strikeout rate of 35% in the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 18 of 369 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (219/403) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .171 (12-for-70) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 -- 95th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .274 (63 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Braves' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	3-2	3-2	N/A	3-2	N/A
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	0-5	0-5	N/A	0-5	N/A
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	3-2	3-2	N/A	3-2	N/A
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155
May 10th	@NYM	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -147
May 8th	BOS	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -216
May 7th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -188

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P		98	5	8	0
RH.Wesneski, P		53	3	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5I.Happ, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Hoerner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Busch, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RR.Lopez, P	71	5	4
LR.Kerr, P	19	2	3
LD.Lee, P	19	1	1
LA.Minter, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	0
9Z.Short, 3B	1-3	1	1