Red Sox vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2024

Red Sox at Braves

11:20 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

10-7

0 - 5

Atlanta Braves

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 10-7	+1.5	+1.5-119	o8.5+100	+175
Braves 8-8	u9	-1.5-101	u8.5-120	-216

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

May 08, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

ATL -190 (F5)

0.26u

Flat to -195

Under 9-114

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-103)

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 3.0 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (12 games). The Braves have scored just 3.2 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (11 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday Night
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May 8, 2024 UTC
MLB Strikeout Props: Fade Chris Sale vs. Red Sox?
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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Tyler O'Neill has struck out in 35% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 12th highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 37% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

9 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (53/204) against Nick Pivetta on inside fastballs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -188
May 5th	@LAD	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD -155
May 5th	@LAD	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +164
May 4th	@LAD	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -106
May 1st	@SEA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -191

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	58	4	1	5
RJ.Winckowski, P	27	1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RC.Anderson, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2C.Wong, C	2-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Cooper, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Abreu, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Sale, P	103	6	10
LD.Lee, P	25	2	2
LR.Kerr, P	11	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	2	2	4
6O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	1
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0	0