Guardians vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2025

Guardians at Orioles

10:35 pm • CLEG

Cleveland Guardians

33-29

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

25-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Sugano			3.04	5-3
T.Bibee			3.89	4-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 33-29	-1.5	+1.5-197	o8-111	+116
Orioles 25-37	u8.5	-1.5+155	u8-110	-136

Thursday 10:35 p.m.

April 17, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

CLE +2.5 (Live)-130

1.3u

S.Kwan o1 Total Bases (Live)+145

0.5u

3.2% ev

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+110

CLE +117

#BQ

BAL -125

1.6u

CLE +110

🔑 Guardians ML +110 (DraftKings) 3u I’m cursed rn so tail cautiously. The Os have not impressed me this year. I think the Guards will be able to hit off Sugano. Bibee is a strikeout pitcher and the Os K a ton. 🔨time on Guards (for me)

Over 7.5-166

0.3u

T.Bibee o4.5 Ks-138

Proj closer to -165. Classic ‘buy low’ spot..or should I say ‘Buy-bee low’ spot? (I’ll show myself out). His K% rate is down 10% from last season at 16% but I’m not seeing any major red flags (his expected K rate is popping at 26%) and 2 of his 3 starts were against the Royals so far (they have 7th lowest whiff rate). He’s not going to turn into Paul Skenes going forward but having exposure to 5 with him is decent value here.

CLE -110

Drown the dirty birds (-101 on PX)

CLE -110 (F5)

1.1u

Over 8.5-111

1.11u

K.Manzardo o0.5 HR+630

0.5u

J.Ramirez o0.5 HR+550

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

J.Holliday u0.5 Singles-140

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CLE -123 (F5)

T.Sugano o3.5 Ks+124

Have him projected at 3.56 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range have been roughly a coin flip to go over 3.5 for me.

BAL -105

0.95u

Bet365

T.Sugano u1.5 BB+140

0.42u

CLE -117

1.17u

Over 8.5-110

Bibee's K% down to 15.9, walk rate up to 11.1%. Sugano? 5.90 xERA, .305 xBA, 43.1% hard-hit rate. Both arms bleeding contact. Baltimore ranks 9th in runs (4.59/game), Guardians slug .379 with 20 HR in 17 games. Wind blowing out + warm Baltimore night? Boom time. Orioles hitting .237, but 35.6% of hits are for extra bases – 9th in MLB. Guardians low volume but 20 HR already, and both teams hit 1.18 HR/game. Sugano’s 1.57 WHIP is shaky, Bibee's .488 xSLG suggests he's getting barreled often. Neither pen ranked top 12 in ERA or WHIP. Bibee’s control issues = traffic. Sugano’s 15.6% whiff rate = no swing-and-miss. Last 8 matchups: 7 of last 8 sailed Over 8.5.

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+500

BAL +105

0.53u

Thursday. Bet to -105

Over 8.5-105

0.53u

Thursday. Bet to 9 (+100)

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See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 14-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Orioles' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	22-40	8-21	14-19	8-25	13-15
Guardians	30-32	14-15	16-17	11-11	19-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	27-32-3	16-11-2	11-21-1	16-15-2	11-16-1
Guardians	26-33-3	12-16-1	14-17-2	12-10	14-22-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	25-37	12-17	13-20	12-21	12-16
Guardians	33-29	17-12	16-17	15-7	18-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	CLE	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -128
Apr 15th	CLE	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -152
Apr 13th	TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -135
Apr 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -125
Apr 9th	@ARI	L 0-9	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI +100

Ben Lively
P
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	99	5.2	5	6
RJ.Junis, P	13	0.2	0	0
LT.Herrin, P	11	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	8	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Arias, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Jones, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6L.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
8A.Hedges, C	1-3	1	1	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Sugano, P	87	7	3	2
LK.Akin, P	16	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	5	0.1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	2-4	2	1	1
3A.Rutschman, C	0-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, RF	2-3	1	1	3
4R.Laureano, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, DH	0-4	1	0	0
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	1	1	2
6H.Kjerstad, RF	1-2	1	1	2
7R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-2	0	0	0