Guardians vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Guardians at Phillies

10:05 pm • BSGL
0 - 8
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Tyler Phillips logoT.PhillipsPhiladelphia Phillies logo6.874-1
Carlos Carrasco logoC.CarrascoCleveland Guardians logo5.643-10

Guardians at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
4-6
+1.5-153
o9.5+100
+135
Phillies
1-3
-1.5+128
u9.5-120
-161
location pinSaturday 10:05 p.m.
July 27, 2024
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Guardians vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
146d ago
Last 30d: 17-18-0 (+4.0u)
T.Turner o1.5 Total Bases-115
1.15u
T.Turner o3.5 Total Bases+290
0.25u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
146d ago
Last 30d: 23-14-2 (+5.1u)
Under 9.5-120
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
146d ago
Last 30d: 86-68-0 (+6.1u)
PHI -142
0.7u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
147d ago
Last 30d: 266-240-4 (+2.9u)
C.Carrasco u4.5 Ks-125
1.25u
Projection lands at 3.89 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -167 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
147d ago
Last 30d: 87-71-2 (+39.7u)
CLE +1.5-143
3u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
147d ago
Last 30d: 28-47-0 (-4.8u)
Under 9+100
0.5u
Bet to -105

PRO Insights

Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for second best in MLB. Phillies have won just 37% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.
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Phillies logo

Phillies

PHI Insights
  • Phillies logoPhillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Guardians vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis

  • Phillies vs Guardians: Over/Under Prediction article feature image

    Phillies vs Guardians: Over/Under Prediction

    Tony Sartori
    Jul 27, 2024 UTC
  • MLB Picks: A Beefy Player Prop Edge for Saturday article feature image

    MLB Picks: A Beefy Player Prop Edge for Saturday

    PJ Walsh
    Jul 27, 2024 UTC
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Guardians vs. Phillies Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Guardians vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

17%

Bets%

83%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
75-8739-4236-4564-6610-21
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
78-76-836-40-542-36-356-68-622-7-2
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
95-6754-2741-4082-4812-19
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 26thCLEL 1-3-1.5 LU 8CLE -190
Jul 24th@MINL 4-5-1.5 LO 8MIN -132
Jul 23rd@MINW 3-0-1.5 WU 8PHI -148
Jul 22nd@MINL 2-7-1.5 LO 8.5MIN -115
Jul 21st@PITW 6-0-1.5 WU 9PHI -122

Guardians vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Shane Bieber
    P

    Bieber is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Phillies Injuries

  • Max Kepler
    OF

    Kepler is out with knee

    Out

Guardians vs. Phillies Box Score
Guardians Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Carlos Carrasco logoRC.Carrasco, P863.256
Nick Sandlin logoRN.Sandlin, P100.111
Pedro Avila logoRP.Avila, P20121
Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P13100
Peter Strzelecki logoRP.Strzelecki, P28230
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF1-3000
Tyler Freeman logo1T.Freeman, CF0-1000
Angel Martinez logo2A.Martinez, CF0-4000
Angel Martinez logo2A.Martinez, RF0-4000
Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B1-3000
Brayan Rocchio logo3B.Rocchio, SS0-0000
David Fry logo4D.Fry, DH1-3000
Daniel Schneemann logo5D.Schneemann, SS0-3000
Daniel Schneemann logo5D.Schneemann, 3B0-3000
Andres Gimenez logo6A.Gimenez, 2B1-3000
Jhonkensy Noel logo7J.Noel, 1B0-3000
Will Brennan logo8W.Brennan, RF0-3000
Will Brennan logo8W.Brennan, LF0-3000
Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C0-2000
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tyler Phillips logoRT.Phillips, P105940
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH3-5113
Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS1-4100
Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B1-4112
Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B1-2000
Edmundo Sosa logo4E.Sosa, 3B0-1000
J.T. Realmuto logo5J.Realmuto, C0-4100
Brandon Marsh logo6B.Marsh, CF2-4112
Brandon Marsh logo6B.Marsh, RF2-4112
Nick Castellanos logo7N.Castellanos, RF2-3211
Johan Rojas logo7J.Rojas, PH0-1000
Johan Rojas logo7J.Rojas, CF0-1000
Bryson Stott logo8B.Stott, 2B1-4000
Austin Hays logo9A.Hays, LF1-4100

Guardians vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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Guardians at Phillies Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Guardians
4-6
o4.5+110
u4.5-140
Phillies
1-3
o4.5-130
u4.5+100