Marlins vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 26, 2024
Marlins at Twins
11:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.90 | 2-6 | |
 |  | 3.67 | 3-4 |
Marlins at Twins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marlins 15-25 | +1.5 | +1.5+105 | o8.5-118 | +212 |
Twins 21-20 | u8.5 | -1.5-125 | u8.5-102 | -262 |
Target FieldMinneapolis
Marlins vs. Twins Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 3-26-0 (-10.2u)
Under 8.5+100
0.5u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Festa u5.5 Ks-140
1u
Under in 4/L8, but this is more situational. Twins are clinging to their last hopes in the playoff chase (down 2 in the loss column to both the tigers and royals) - this is virtually a must win with both teams already winning today.
Marlins are hitting well lately - if they push festa to get enough guys on base early, he’ll get pulled.
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 5-3-0 (+0.7u)
V.Bellozo u3.5 Earned Runs-135
0.74u
V. Bellozo ⬇️ 3.5 Earned Runs (+103 @ DraftKings and -135 @ 365)
I'm breaking this up a half unit each to use my DK boost here to equal a full unit in this play.
THE BAT X 📽️: 3.01 ER's
Bellozo has been decent this year with a 3.82 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. The underlying stats don't look very good, but this is a high line in what looks like a good matchup.
MIN ranks 29th in OPS vs RHP over L30 and Bellozo has given up 3 runs or fewer in his L4 starts. MIN also hasn't seen him yet, which is great, and he's been better on the road:
Home ERA: 4.39
Road ERA: 3.41
Home wOBA against: .359
Road wOBA against: .322
We've also gotten to the point in the season where SP's may get shorter leashes to preserve arms for next season. We could see his start cut shorter than normal.
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 80-72-2 (-6.7u)
MIN -250
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 116-83-4 (+62.1u)
Under 8.5+100
1u
All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️
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Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 151-164-12 (-6.4u)
Under 8.5+105
0.5u
Bet to -112
PRO Insights
Marlins
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightMarlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% this season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Twins
MIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Twins are batting .292 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .353 (12-for-34) against Marlins RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Marlins vs. Twins Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Marlins vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Twins are 8-12 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Twins' 21 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Twins Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettSP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Ryan WeathersSP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
- Eury PerezSP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Twins Injuries
Marlins vs. Twins Box Score
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 74 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 8 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 39 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 72 | 4.1 | 5 | 3 | |
 | 11 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 39 | 1.2 | 3 | 2 | |
 | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins vs. Twins Odds Comparison
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Marlins at Twins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Marlins 15-25 | o3.5+105 | u3.5-135 |
Twins 21-20 | o5.5+110 | u5.5-140 |