Mets vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 2, 2024

Mets at Brewers

11:38 pm • ESPN

New York Mets

2-1

3 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Montas			2.46	0-0
S.Manaea			4.74	2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 2-1	-1.5	+1.5-198	o7.5-116	+112
Brewers 1-2	u7	-1.5+164	u7.5-104	-132

Wednesday 11:38 p.m.

October 02, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 7.5 (Live)-110

1.65u

Under 4 (F5)+120

NYM +0.5 (F5)-140

Over 4.5 (F5)+112

1.12u

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 154-87-7,64% (ROI:25%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-44%)

NYM +100 (F5)

NYM o3.5 Team Total-122

1.22u

NYM +110

#ProSystem Fade the public in playoffs Overall: 163-123-0,57% (ROI:26%) Season:3-0-0,100% (ROI:133%)

MIL -125

1.6u

MIL -130 (F5)

Shop lines. Bovada most juiced one

MIL -118

$847.46

Over 3.5 (F5)-166

0.6u

NYM o3.5 Team Total-120

1.2u

MIL -110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Brewers are in a strong position with improved pitching and offense. Sean Manaea’s struggles with runners on base align with Milwaukee’s aggressive base running, having gone 16-for-16 in steals against the Mets. Offensively, the Brewers excel against left-handed pitching, hitting .253 overall. Montas, since his trade, has been dominant, with a 3.74 xFIP and 14.05 K/9 in September.

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

NYM -102

1.02u

NYM -102

1.02u

Sura

NYM -101

2.02u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

1.3u

Draftkings

NYM -102

1.02u

Avery

NYM -105

1.05u

Johnny

MIL -114

Sandy

MIL -114

NYM -102

1.02u

MIL -115

$17.39

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

Under 7.5-115

$15.00

MIL -110

0.91u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

F.Montas o1.5 BB-125

Under 7.5-115

#ProSystem High scoring teams postseason Overall: 71-25-4,74% (ROI:42%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-8%)

MIL -108

0.5u

Assuming Montas + Pen. Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Mets have a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Brewers left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- lowest in MLB (213 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (200 games).

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The Brewers are 36-27 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames is batting just .234 since last season -- tied for 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .212 (171-for-806) against Sean Manaea since last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Rhys Hoskins has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (71/230) against Frankie Montas since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (58 PA's) in his last three starts -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .639 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	3-6	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	NYM	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM -148
Sep 29th	NYM	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	NYM +120
Sep 28th	NYM	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL -115
Sep 28th	NYM	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -103
Sep 26th	@PIT	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL -120

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Coleman Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	86	5	4	2
RR.Garrett, P	12	1	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	11	1	0	0
RP.Maton, P	20	1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	1
2J.Iglesias, 2B	1-5	1	0
2J.Iglesias, 3B	1-5	1	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	0
3L.Acuna, 2B	0-0	0	0
3J.Winker, PH	0-1	0	0
4B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	1
5P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	2-3	1	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0
8T.Taylor, RF	1-4	1	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	60	3.2	3	1
RT.Megill, P	22	1.1	3	0
RJ.Payamps, P	17	1	1	0
LJ.Koenig, P	7	0.2	0	0
RJ.Ross, P	12	1.1	0	0
RD.Williams, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	2-4	2	2	2
2B.Perkins, CF	2-3	0	0	1
3W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5G.Sanchez, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Mitchell, PR	1-1	1	1	2
5G.Mitchell, DH	1-1	1	1	2
6R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	2-3	1	0	0