Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2024

Nationals at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Washington Nationals

0-0

2 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-105	o7.5-120	+200
Phillies 1-3	-1.5-115	u7.5+100	-245

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 17, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -240 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -250

B.Marsh o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.65u

Bearded man hits ball far

PHI -1.5-112

0.89u

PHI -0.5 (F5)-140

0.71u

Zach “Hit a Blinker” Wheeler F5

PHI -1.5-115

0.87u

Maybe the greatest bet in all of sports

PHI -2.5+140

0.5u

I’d ladder this to -4.5 if my offshore wasn’t so soft

PHI o4.5 Team Total-105

1.05u

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Phillies RPs since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Nationals hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

30% of Kyle Schwarber strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 44% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin's K:BB ratio is 18.0 (18/1) against right-handed batters this season -- best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 3.0 -- 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has struck out 38% (41/109) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 83 right-handed batters (1%) this season -- best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 16th	NYM	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -138
May 15th	NYM	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -202
May 14th	@NYM	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -122
May 13th	@NYM	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	PHI -101
May 12th	@MIA	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	MIA -205

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	93	5	2	4
RJ.Barnes, P	26	2	2	0
RJ.Weems, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0
2E.Rosario, RF	1-4	0	1
3J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	0	0
5I.Vargas, 2B	0-3	1	0
6J.Winker, LF	0-3	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	1-3	0	1
8N.Senzel, 3B	0-2	0	0
9V.Robles, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	104	7.1	6	2
LJ.Alvarado, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	1
2J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	1-3	1	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-2	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	1-2	1	1
8E.Sosa, SS	1-3	1	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0