Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2024

Phillies at Mets

5:10 pm • SNY

Philadelphia Phillies

24-17

4 - 0

New York Mets

28-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Butto			2.55	7-3
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 24-17	-1.5+136	o7.5-116	-122
Mets 28-15	+1.5-162	u7.5-105	+103

Tuesday 5:10 p.m.

May 14, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -117 (Live)

1.17u

NYM -105 (F5)

1.05u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+500

0.15u

P.Alonso o1.5 Total Bases+155

0.35u

NYM +120

0.5u

Over 8-105

0.5u

B.Marsh o1.5 Total Bases+180

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage to Marsh and +ev bet with devig odds of +148 giving value to this number

PHI -1.5+120

0.6u

Bending the Mets over the kitchen sink

PHI -2.5+182

0.91u

My name is Mjay and I support this message

PHI o4.5 Team Total+102

Big time players make big time plays

PHI -137

0.73u

Same shit different day boys

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-111

0.56u

1st time through the order FIP: Butto 5.33, Nola 4.69

NYM +120

0.75u

PHI -135

WHY TF

NYM +124

0.5u

Bet to +112

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -117

Over 7.5-117

1.17u

Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season -- lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 36% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Phillies have struck out 25% over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 119-85 (.583) since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Phillies are 54-16 (.771) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

The Mets are just 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Adam Ottavino has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Francisco Lindor is batting just .174 at home this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .174 (12-for-69) against Aaron Nola on the road this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 31% (203 SO in 647 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 96th Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 49% (89/181) when ahead in the count this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- second Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 50% (68/136) with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 9-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	21-22	12-9	9-13	15-18	6-4
Phillies	21-20	10-10	11-10	16-17	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	16-26-1	7-13-1	9-13	16-16-1	0-10
Phillies	18-22-1	11-9	7-13-1	15-17-1	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	28-15	17-4	11-11	23-10	5-5
Phillies	24-17	13-7	11-10	20-13	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 13th	PHI	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7	PHI -118
May 12th	ATL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -111
May 11th	ATL	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7	ATL +130
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P		109	9	8	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	2	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0
3B.Stott, SS	1-2	0	1
4A.Bohm, 1B	2-4	0	2
5B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	1
6W.Merrifield, 3B	0-4	0	0
7K.Clemens, 2B	0-4	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	1-4	1	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Butto, P	97	5	4	2
RY.Ramirez, P	22	1	2	0
LJ.Diekman, P	18	0.2	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	22	1.1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	24	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, PH	1-1	0	0	0