Padres vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 26, 2024

Padres at Dodgers

2:10 am • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

3 - 4

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Flaherty			2.95	7-5
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5	+1.5-183	o8-102	+119
Dodgers 11-5	u8	-1.5+152	u8-114	-139

Thursday 2:10 a.m.

September 26, 2024

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

Under 8-118

0.85u

LAD -0.5 (F5)+110

F.Tatis To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+120

1.2u

Under 7.5+100

#ProSystem . Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 414-281-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:22-15-1,59% (ROI:15%) . winning team unders streak Overall: 499-347-49,59% (ROI:14%) Season:13-17-3,43% (ROI:-14%)

LAD -0.5 (F5)+105

#ProSystem ... F5 good home favs off a loss Overall: 298-225-162,57% (ROI:8%) Season:40-17-5,70% (ROI:17%)

F.Tatis o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

0.91u

SD +120

D.Cease u6.5 Ks-150

Cease is under in 7/L9 full starts. Dodgers at a 127 wRC+ and 18.5 % K% vs righties over the last month, and are chasing at the third lowest rate over that span. Cease relies on those chases for his Ks.

F.Tatis o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

SD +122

SD +124

0.5u

Bet to +120

Featured Insight
Padres have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- fourth best in MLB. Dodgers have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Dodgers have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Padres have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Padres are 90-65 (.581) this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 25th	SD	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SD -120
Sep 22nd	COL	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD -407
Sep 22nd	COL	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	COL -298
Sep 21st	COL	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	LAD -274
Sep 19th	@MIA	W 20-4	-1.5 W	O 8	LAD -214

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	97	5	4	3
RJ.Estrada, P	19	0.2	1	1
LA.Morejon, P	15	0.1	0	0
RB.Hoeing, P	15	1.1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	3	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	2-3	1	1	1
3J.Profar, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	1-3	0	0	1
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-2	0	0	1
7B.Lockridge, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Solano, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Wade, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P	100	5	5	3
LA.Vesia, P	20	1	0	0
RE.Phillips, P	9	1	1	0
RB.Treinen, P	7	1	2	0
RM.Kopech, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	2-3	1	2
2M.Betts, RF	0-4	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	2-4	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	1-4	0	1
4C.Taylor, LF	0-0	0	0
5M.Muncy, 3B	0-2	0	0
6W.Smith, C	0-3	1	0
7T.Edman, CF	1-3	1	0
7T.Edman, SS	1-3	1	0
8G.Lux, 2B	2-4	1	1
9M.Rojas, SS	0-1	0	0
9A.Pages, CF	0-1	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0
9K.Hernandez, PH	0-1	0	0
9K.Hernandez, CF	0-1	0	0