Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2025

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

42-29

5 - 2

Miami Marlins

28-41

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			7.14	3-7
M.Abel			2.35	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 42-29	-1.5	-1.5+146	o8.5-111	-115
Marlins 28-41	u8.5	+1.5-176	u8.5-109	-104

Monday 10:40 p.m.

June 16, 2025

loanDepot parkMiami

S.Alcantara o2.5 Earned Runs-110

1.1u

(VIP and Action Exclusive Pick) - Over in 9/L11 games - Allowed 6 runs to the Phillies earlier this season, including a 3-run first inning - PHI ranks 9th in wRC+ and 8th in wOBA. They have been even better the last month, ranking 7th in both those categories.

PHI -110

Took on Novig Playing off of the Alcantara pick, I'm backing the Phillies to take the win today. Alcantara on the mound is a clear advantage for the Phillies with his 3-7 record and 7.14 ERA this season. While Alcantara has been better in his last 2 starts, that was against the Rockies and Pirates, and both of those teams suck. The Phillies have one of the top offenses vs RHP this season and scored 6 runs vs Alcantara in their first meeting this season. The Marlins have also lost 9/L10 home games, while the Phillies are on a 4-game win streak coming off a series sweep of the Blue Jays. I'll back the Phillies in this matchup.

MIA +100

Model loves this play. Sandy has awful career splits vs Phillies and he’s been dog shit all season. Tough tail but the model spits and I click

PHI -1.5+150

1.5u

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -115

Under 8.5-105

MIA +105

Follow @PicksOffice on X to read the full writeup.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks-112

Coming off a good outing, but in a low-strikeout matchup, I have Alcantara projected at just 4.12 strikeouts.

MIA +105

PHI -1.5+138

0.99u

S.Alcantara u17.5 Outs+120

1.2u

S.Alcantara o2.5 Earned Runs-105

K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.77u

PHI -118

$423.73

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks+102

S.Alcantara o5.5 Hits Allowed-125

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +104; cashed out +110 and took +115 (CZR)

M.Abel o4.5 Ks+101

PHI -126

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Jun 16, 2025 UTC
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 21-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	37-32	16-18	21-14	3-7	33-24
Phillies	34-37	17-20	17-17	28-30	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	36-33	17-17	19-16	5-5	30-27
Phillies	30-37-4	18-17-2	12-20-2	25-29-4	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	28-41	14-20	14-21	5-5	23-34
Phillies	42-29	24-13	18-16	37-21	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	@WSH	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +136
Jun 14th	@WSH	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +108
Jun 13th	@WSH	W 11-9	-1.5 W	O 9	MIA -112
Jun 11th	@PIT	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT +134
Jun 10th	@PIT	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +124

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Bryce Harper
1B
Harper is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Abel, P	77	5	3	1
RT.Walker, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Romano, P	14	1	2	0
LM.Strahm, P	18	1	0	1
RO.Kerkering, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	3-5	1	1	2
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	0	0	2
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Rojas, CF	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Kepler, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6O.Kemp, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Marchan, C	1-4	1	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	1-3	2	0	0
9B.Marsh, LF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	100	5	5	2
RV.Bellozo, P	40	3	1	1
LC.Gibson, P	29	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	2-4	1	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	0-3	0	0
2J.Sanoja, PH	1-1	0	0
2J.Sanoja, CF	1-1	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	0-4	0	0
4A.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	1
5K.Stowers, LF	1-4	1	0
5K.Stowers, CF	1-4	1	0
5K.Stowers, RF	1-4	1	0
6E.Wagaman, 1B	0-4	0	0
7L.Hicks, C	0-2	0	0
8C.Norby, 3B	1-4	0	1
9D.Myers, CF	0-0	0	0
9H.Hernandez, LF	0-2	0	0