Pirates vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Pirates at Phillies

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

38-50

5 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

51-36

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 38-50	+1.5-154	o9-121	+138
Phillies 51-36	-1.5+129	u9+100	-163

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 9-120

2.4u

PHI -155

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 571-318-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:1-3-0,25% (ROI:-57%)

PIT +138

0.69u

PHI -1.5+130

Under 9.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-105)

B.Falter u3.5 Ks+100

PHI -155 (F5)

0.78u

Bet to -183. Flat risk 0.5u at -170 or higher

Featured Insight
Pirates left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last week -- ninth lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 12% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies hitters had a hard-hit rate of 41% last season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Pirates last season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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The Phillies are 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Phillies are 7-70 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Nick Castellanos has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.7 MPH on changeups since last season (85 balls in play) -- tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 86.6

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (5/37) against Cristopher Sanchez over the past seven days (1 games) -- 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 28% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 23-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Phillies' 43 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	44-43	21-22	23-21	34-33	10-10
Pirates	45-43	27-20	18-23	9-17	34-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	35-48-4	21-20-2	14-28-2	27-36-4	8-12
Pirates	35-48-5	20-24-3	15-24-2	9-17	25-30-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	51-36	28-15	23-21	44-23	7-13
Pirates	38-50	26-21	12-29	12-14	25-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 11th	PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -132
Apr 10th	@STL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -140
Apr 9th	@STL	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -140
Apr 8th	@STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -105
Apr 7th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	WSH -155

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	71	5	3	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	11	0.2	1	0
RL.Ortiz, P	19	1	1	0
LJ.Fleming, P	15	0.2	0	1
LA.Chapman, P	16	0.2	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Joe, 1B	2-4	0	1
1R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
1R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	2-5	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0
4J.Suwinski, PR	0-1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, LF	0-1	0	0
5A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0
6O.Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0
7M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0
8J.Triolo, 2B	2-3	1	0
9H.Davis, C	2-3	2	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	91	6	6	1
RY.Marte, P	27	1	2	1
RR. Pinto, P	36	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	0	0
4J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	1-4	1	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	1
9W.Merrifield, LF	0-4	0	0