Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2024

Clark Schmidt opens for the Yankees, coming off a decent outing against a potent Cubs lineup where he pitched 4.2 innings and gave up no earned runs. While he had only two strikeouts in that time, his ability to limit damage with few strikeouts showed his control. The injury didn't seem to hold him back much, and he was durable against a team notorious for putting up runs-something he can run with moving forward. His season ERA of 4.56 is not going to pop off the page, but Schmidt has been reliable at home in Yankee Stadium where he has generally provided quality innings. While the Yankees lineup has not been as explosive this season, they're facing Tanner Houck, who has been very unreliable in recent outings. Houck brings a 4.94 ERA into this season and has been roughed up enough that the Boston offense has been unable to overcome as the team has lost five of his last six starts. In his last start against the Mets, he allowed five earned runs in just four innings of work. The inability to work out of jams has made him a susceptible target, specifically against lineups that can reach via walks, which is something the Yankees are very good at. Anchored around Aaron Judge, this lineup presents a tough matchup for Houck. The New York Yankees work counts very well, with Judge posting the third-best on-base percentage via walks in the league; that skill greatly benefits them in creating more scoring opportunities. These Yankees have had better plate discipline lately, something that'll keep inflating the vulnerability of Houck's bubble because he's shown to lose command in those situations. The Boston bullpen, which brings up the rear with the 20th-ranked ERA in the majors has been more liability in terms of supporting their starters and further canted the advantage in New York's direction. The Red Sox rank just 19th in runs allowed, and though that number might not stand out on the ledger, the Yankees have enough firepower to take advantage without necessarily hanging a crooked number on the scoreboard. Expect Schmidt to turn in another strong performance, keeping Boston's offense in check, before the Yankees' patient approach at the plate starts to wear down Houck and then exposes the shaky Boston bullpen.

Bet to -145