Tigers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Tigers at Pirates

4:35 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

9-9

5 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
C.Mize			4.49	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 9-9	+1.5-175	o8.5-105	+101
Pirates 10-9	-1.5+147	u8.5-115	-120

Tuesday 4:35 p.m.

April 09, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -120

$4.00

O.Cruz o1.5 Hits+180

Original hit lay, Pinch hit in the 9th so counts a loss lol

PIT -120

1.2u

M.Pérez u3.5 Ks+106

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects -131 odds and 3.3 Ks and +EV of 7.77% where devig odds are -131 showing value

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

0.55u

PIT -115

DET -104 (F5)

$52.00

DET +105

1.05u

PIT -120

… repeat win Overall: 153-90-0,63% (ROI:18%) Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%) ... RLM short fav ML Overall: 284-161-0,64% (ROI:14%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

DET +112

3.36u

DET +114

0.57u

Superbook. Edit: Bet to -101

DET +105 (F5)

0.5u

Edit: Bet to -115 after lineups

DET +0.5 (F5)-130

0.33u

Bet to -145 or add more ML

Featured Insight
Tigers RPs have allowed an OPS of just .670 (5,455 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB. Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .684 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Tigers have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB.

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The Tigers are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Pirates are 39-8 (.830) when they've had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

35% of Jack Suwinski strikeouts were looking last season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 46% of Jason Foley strikeouts were looking last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

32% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 45% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has struck out just 9% (3/34) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- fourth Percentile.

Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 77 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 -- Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 102.

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (37/57) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% -- 100th Percentile.

Casey Mize has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (12/25) with runners in scoring position this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 90th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	DET	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -130
Apr 7th	BAL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -102
Apr 6th	BAL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +120
Apr 5th	BAL	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +102
Apr 4th	@WSH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT -120

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mize, P	83	5	2	2
LT.Holton, P	15	1	1	1
RA.Lange, P	22	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	7	1	0	0
RJ.Foley, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Vierling, CF	2-5	1	0
1M.Vierling, RF	2-5	1	0
2M.Canha, RF	1-5	0	0
2M.Canha, 1B	1-5	0	0
3R.Greene, LF	1-3	1	0
4S.Torkelson, 1B	1-3	0	1
4Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	1	0
4Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-0	1	0
5G.Urshela, 3B	2-4	0	1
5P.Meadows, PR	0-0	1	0
5P.Meadows, CF	0-0	1	0
6C.Keith, 2B	0-4	0	0
7C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0
7K.Carpenter, PH	1-1	1	1
8J.Baez, SS	0-3	0	0
9J.Rogers, DH	1-4	0	1
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	100	8	7	1
RD.Bednar, P	23	0.1	0	4
RR.Contreras, P	7	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Triolo, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
4J.Suwinski, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, RF	2-4	2	2	2
5C.Joe, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8H.Davis, C	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0