White Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2023

White Sox at Twins

12:10 am • BSN

Chicago White Sox

0-0

4 - 9

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10
L.Lynn			6.47	6-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-164	o8-114	+130
Twins 0-0	-1.5+136	u8-106	-156

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

July 22, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -152 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -165. Adding small b/c I have it tied to a parlay too

CWS +132

0.5u

J.Ryan u7.5 Ks-144

1.44u

Projecting closer to -200

CWS +144

0.8u

Available at FanDuel. Lance Lynn is starting for the White Sox today, and he started throwing a curveball six starts ago. In that time, he has a 2.97 SIERA thanks to a massive boost in strikeouts. His ERA is rough, but it seems like that's more due to bad luck on fly balls than anything. He could have that again here because the Twins have some powerful bats, but they're also more than willing to strike out. Lynn has put up these impressive numbers while starting four of six games on the road, so I wouldn't expect a huge dip there tonight. I do have the Twins favored here, but my model puts the White Sox's win odds at 45.5%, up from the 41.0% implied at +144.

MIN -159 (F5)

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The Twins are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Luis Robert is slugging .677 over the last 30 days -- 10th best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Joe Ryan has allowed a SLG of .808 vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- worst among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Edouard Julien is slugging .566 this season -- tied for 10th best among hitters with at least 142 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Lance Lynn has allowed a SLG of .649 vs left-handed batters this season -- worst among qualified SPs-- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	@SEA	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA +105
Jul 20th	@SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN +125
Jul 19th	@SEA	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 7	MIN +105
Jul 18th	@SEA	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SEA +125
Jul 16th	@ATH	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIN -182

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P		100	6.2	6	6
RB. Shaw, P		21	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Benintendi, LF	2-5	1	1	1
2T.Anderson, SS	1-3	0	0	1
3L.Robert, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	2-4	1	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6Y.Grandal, C	1-3	1	1	2
6Y.Grandal, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
7G.Sheets, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7C. Pérez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7C. Pérez, C	0-1	0	0	0
8Z.Remillard, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9E. Andrus, 2B	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	104	6	10	4
RE.Pagan, P	15	1	0	0
LJ. Moran, P	22	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	0-5	1	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	1-2	2	0	0
2K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Wallner, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6B.Buxton, DH	2-4	2	2	4
7D.Solano, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Solano, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-4	1	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0