Yankees vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2024

Yankees at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

New York Yankees

8-6

5 - 1

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3
C.Rodon			3.96	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+145	o8.5-102	-112
Twins 0-0	+1.5-175	u8.5-118	-107

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 14, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.65u

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

NYY -110

0.25u

Small to -115

Under 8.5-110

0.25u

Already have 8 adding more at 8.5

C.Rodon u2.5 BB-180

0.56u

MIN +105

0.5u

Under 8.5-105

MIN +114

ON THE MF

Under 8-106

0.5u

Bet to -110

MIN +120

MIN +118

0.5u

MIN +118

Featured Insight
Yankees hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Twins RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .215 (157-for-729) against Twins RPs with RISP since last season -- third best in MLB. The Yankees are batting just .238 with RISP since last season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 69-39 (.639) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Twins are 90-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Aaron Judge has 31 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for third most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 87th Percentile.

Ryan Jeffers is slugging .771 over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of .879 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- first Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .360 (32 Total Bases / 89 ABs) with two-strikes this season -- 4th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .262 -- eighth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (105/186) this season -- 5th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% -- 10th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 20 ABs) on inside fastballs this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .416 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	@TOR	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -120
May 11th	@TOR	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 8	TOR +124
May 10th	@TOR	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	MIN -102
May 9th	SEA	W 11-1	-	-	-
May 8th	SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -111

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	102	6	6	1
RI.Hamilton, P	22	2	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	2-5	0	0	1
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	1	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	2
5G.Stanton, DH	2-5	1	1	1
6A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
8A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	2-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	95	5	4	5
RJ.Jackson, P	28	2	1	0
LS.Okert, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Staumont, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Jeffers, DH	1-4	1	1	1
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3W.Castro, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Margot, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Margot, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7E.Julien, PH	1-2	0	0	0
7E.Julien, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Martin, LF	1-2	0	0	0
9M.Kepler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Kepler, RF	0-1	0	0	0