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Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2023

Heat at Celtics

12:30 am • TNT

Miami Heat

4-3
97
97 - 110

Boston Celtics

3-4
110

Heat at Celtics Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
4-3
+8.5-110
o215-110
+250
Celtics
3-4
-8.5-110
u215-110
-310
location pinFriday 12:30 a.m.
May 26, 2023
TD GardenBoston
Heat vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 26-45-0 (-14.9u)
J.Brown 20+ Pts, J. Tatum 20+ Pts, J. Butler 20+ Pts+125
MIA Heat @ BOS Celtics
$25.00
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 54-56-0 (-6.3u)
C.Martin o14.5 Pts+Ast-110
1.1u
J.Tatum o30.5 Pts-112
1.12u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOS -8.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 17-21-1 (-0.1u)
C.Martin u13.5 Pts-111
0.45u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-101-0 (-12.0u)
G.Williams u13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.83u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 40-46-0 (-2.5u)
Over 214.5-110
1.1u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 35-34-1 (-2.5u)
M.Brogdon o8.5 Pts-113
1.13u
BOS -8-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 64-38-3 (+47.2u)
BOS -8.5-105
2u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 48-34-0 (+7.4u)
J.Butler u6.5 Ast-140
1u
He’s only cleared this in 1 of 4 games this series despite converting on 24/37 (65%) of his potential assists (52% on the season). Playing without Vincent tonight (who is 11/22 from beyond the arc this series) will most likely increase Butler’s usage rate and hurt his assist rate. Heat have scored 115 pts/g this series but have a team total of 103.5. Good time to fade Butler’s ast and I’m projecting this closer to -180.
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.9u)
J.Tatum u31.5 Pts-130
1u
High #. U 10 of L12 vs. MIA. He scored 33 PTS going 6-12 (50%) on pull-ups (6.8 FGA avg.), but was held to 5 FGA <10 ft. (9.2 FGA avg). Possibly gets Highsmith defense too. No Gabe opens up JB & could get more involved. #PlayerProps
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 17-21-1 (-0.1u)
BOS o111.5-114
0.5u
Over in 8/9 wins during the Playoffs averaging 114.3 in those victories.
BOS o111.5-114
0.5u
BOS o121.5+420
0.4u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOS -310
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-86-1 (-14.4u)
K.Lowry Double-Double (Yes)+1100
0.1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 43-37-2 (+13.0u)
B.Adebayo o20.5 Pts+Ast-115
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 62-81-2 (-11.7u)
BOS -8-112
$0.89
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 43-43-0 (+1.8u)
BOS -7.5-115
0.87u
Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!
Derek Farnsworth
Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
BOS -320
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 62-81-2 (-11.7u)
BOS -3 (1Q)-111
$0.90
BOS -4.5 (1H)-115
$0.87
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 194-187-1 (-14.8u)
Under 110 (1H)-110
1.27u
Under 215.5-110
1.27u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 45-87-0 (+4.9u)
G.Williams o6.5 Pts-110
1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-picks-predictions-andersons-bets-for-celtics-vs-heat-game-5-may-25
G.Williams o9.5 Pts+230
0.5u
G.Williams o11.5 Pts+425
0.25u
Escalator SZN
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.9u)
K.Love u10.5 Pts+Rebs-120
1.2u
Spo doesn’t play him in Q2 & Q4 & he’s 63% from 3PT (not sustainable). U1.5 3PM is -234. Avg. 3.5 reb chances L2. Plays 90% of min w/ floor-spacer Al as the C for BOS, & Tatum targets him on defense to bring away from rim. #PlayerProps
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 17-21-1 (-0.1u)
G.Williams o9.5 Pts+230
0.25u
G.Williams o11.5 Pts+425
0.25u
G.Williams o6.5 Pts-110
1u
Mins were up last game & shots were flowing. He played the most mins of any BOS big (29.2). Over in 3 this series & in 83% of games w/ 25+ mins. I love over 11.5 (+425 Bet365) - 46% hit rate.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-86-1 (-14.4u)
C.Martin o14.5 Pts+185
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-101-0 (-12.0u)
C.Martin u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 17-21-1 (-0.1u)
G.Vincent u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.9u)
G.Vincent u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u
Rolled his ankle in Game 4 & may not be fully healthy. Bound to regress. U2.5 is -148. He’s gone under 19 PRA in 12/15 games this happened playing 27+ MIN. Butler more ball handling, turns him into a SG avg. 3.3 pAST L4. #PlayerProps
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 18-31-1 (-11.7u)
Under 110.5 (1H)-110
0.91u
Eastern Conference 1H unders in Game 5-on 45-15 (75%) since 2018 when O/U in 114 or below. Last 3 1Hs in this series 104, 107, 106.
Derek Farnsworth
Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
BOS -300
1u
See this being in the -350 range closer to tip

Heat vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis

  • NBA Playoff PrizePicks: Play Jimmy Butler, Smart in Game 5 article feature image

    NBA Playoff PrizePicks: Play Jimmy Butler, Smart in Game 5

    Munaf Manji•
    May 25, 2023 UTC
  • PropBetGuy's Thursday NBA Prop: Fade Brown in Game 5 article feature image

    PropBetGuy's Thursday NBA Prop: Fade Brown in Game 5

    PropBetGuy•
    May 25, 2023 UTC
  • Prop Bomb's NBA Parlay: Target Butler, Williams in Game 5 article feature image

    Prop Bomb's NBA Parlay: Target Butler, Williams in Game 5

    Prop Bomb•
    May 25, 2023 UTC
  • Thursday's NBA Playoff Props: Bet on Williams, White in Game 5 article feature image

    Thursday's NBA Playoff Props: Bet on Williams, White in Game 5

    Munaf Manji•
    May 25, 2023 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Heat

Public

Home Logo

Celtics

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Celtics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Celtics are 20-18 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Celtics' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		38-41-318-2320-18-337-39-31-2
Heat		39-42-122-1917-23-121-2418-18-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Celtics		37-4521-2016-2537-420-3
Heat		44-3825-1619-2226-1918-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		6-5N/AN/A60-191-2
Heat		0-4N/AN/A26-1911-26

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 24th@MIAW 116-99+1.5 WU 216.5BOS +100
May 22nd@MIAL 102-128-4.5 LO 214MIA -180
May 20thMIAL 105-111-9.5 LO 214.5MIA -450
May 18thMIAL 116-123-8.5 LO 212.5MIA -377
May 14thPHIW 112-88-6 WU 201.5BOS -245

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Norman Powell
    SG

    Norman Powell (groin) out Tuesday.

    Out

  • Tyler Herro
    SG

    Herro is out with ankle

    Out

  • Kasparas Jakucionis
    PG

    Jakucionis is out with groin

    Out

Celtics Injuries

  • Jaylen Brown
    SF

    Brown is probable with knee

    Probable

  • Jayson Tatum
    PF

    Tatum is out with achilles

    Out

See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
Player Stats
  • scoring
    Derrick White logo
    Derrick White
    24
    ppg
  • rebounding
    player logo
    -
    11
    rpg
  • assists
    Jayson Tatum logo
    Jayson Tatum
    11
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    100
    fg%
Team Stats

40-78 (51%)
Field Goals
40-78 (51%)
8-10 (80%)
Free Throws
14-19 (74%)
9-23 (39%)
3P
16-38 (42%)
36
Rebounds
37
20
Assists
23
16
Turnovers
9
6
Steals
13
2
Blocks
4
13
Fouls
9

Heat vs. Celtics Odds Comparison

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Heat at Celtics Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
4-3
N/A
N/A
Celtics
3-4
N/A
N/A