Thunder vs. Pacers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 14, 2025

Thunder at Pacers

12:30 am • ABC

Oklahoma City Thunder

2-2

111

111 - 104

Indiana Pacers

2-2

104

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Thunder 2-2	-5	-6-112	o227.5-110	-240
Pacers 2-2	u225.5	+6-107	u227.5-110	+195

Saturday 12:30 a.m.

June 14, 2025

Gainbridge FieldhouseIndianapolis

OKC +106 (Live)

2.12u

OKC -168 (Live)

1.19u

A.Wiggins u2.5 Rebs-145

0.69u

under 6 of 7 post road

I.Hartenstein Double-Double (Yes)+1000

0.25u

Double bigs!

C.Holmgren u15.5 Pts+100

T.Haliburton u17.5 Pts-115

0.5u

C.Holmgren u15.5 Pts+100

T.Haliburton u17.5 Pts-115

J.Williams o1.5 3pt M-110

1.1u

J.Williams o22.5 Pts-108

OKC -6-110

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-125

0.8u

Analysis in The Huddle

T.McConnell o2.5 Rebs+132

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C.Holmgren u1.5 Blk+105

1.05u

1 or fewer in all 3. IND 2nd fewest blocks allowed to opposing C...Turner pulls bigs away from the rim.

Under 116.5 (1H)-115

Finals 1H under 68-45-4 (60%), 2 of 3 under this series 102, 100, 124.

A.Caruso o9.5 Pts-124

C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-115

Over 227.5-105

A.Nesmith o11.5 Pts-110

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OKC -6-110

A.Nesmith u4.5 Rebs+105

C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts+Ast-135

Over 115 (1H)-110

OKC -6-110

0.45u

Systems, ref trends, clear RLM, not too public etc. No magic for the Pacers tonight.

T.McConnell o11.5 Pts+Ast+129

2.33u

OKC -209

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u6.5 Ast-106

B.Sheppard u1.5 Rebs+135

C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-120

1.2u

T.Haliburton u18.5 Pts-125

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-120

C.Wallace u0.5 3pt M+100

M.Turner o14.5 Pts-105

1.05u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-115

I.Hartenstein u8.5 Pts+Ast-130

T.Haliburton o5.5 Rebs+118

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IND +6-110

1.1u

Any player double double by halftime: NO-200

Love it @wheatonbrando

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o40.5 Pts+Ast-110

Let this man cook

Any player double double by halftime: NO-200

0.5u

Absolutely slam this find from @wheatonbrando if you can

Any player double double by halftime: NO-200

1.5u

Under futures, series specials, bet NO. Just a ludicrous price, maybe even if you add a 0. Very few DD this series and even then only at 10-12 on the second stat over a whole game. The only real path is a big man smashing oreb for a half with putbacks, or Hali/SGA leading a perfect offensive half and hitting 10a. Every bet has risks but I’ll live with those risks every time at -200. I would honestly blind bet this no bet -200 in most NBA games. Just mispriced, and well life with the result. Max bet.

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-115

M.Turner u5.5 Rebs-145

Full writeup: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-best-bets-picks-predictions-for-friday-june-13-qs?utm_source=action_app&utm_medium=app&utm_campaign=article_share Also includes picks from @JoeDellera and @bryanfonseca.

J.Williams o26.5 Pts+Ast-112

0.25u

I.Hartenstein o8.5 Pts+Ast+105

0.15u

L.Dort u13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

A.Caruso o12.5 Pts+Ast-111

0.25u

I.Joe o2.5 Pts-120

0.3u

A.Nesmith o16.5 Pts+Rebs-105

0.95u

OKC -215

0.93u

Cblez can’t get away with this

T.Haliburton u27.5 Pts+Ast-120

0.25u

IND u110.5 Team Total-108

0.25u

OKC -218

0.5u

J.Williams o1.5 TOs-154

0.65u

4 last game and 2 in the game prior. The Pacers are forcing the ball out of SGA's hands earlier which means more mins and dribbles on ball for jdub to help facilitate. Playable for a half unit at 2.5

OKC -5.5-120

OKC -6-110

1.82u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-118

Under 227-106

0.94u

Under 226.5-108

OKC -6-110

T.Haliburton o2.5 TOs-115

0.5u

#Tailing @wheatonbrando

C.Wallace u0.5 3pt M+125

0.63u

#RUNITBACK

Under 226.5-105

2.86u

OKC -6-108

0.51u

A.Nesmith u1.5 TOs-180

0.56u

Under 1.5 TOV in 8 of 9 (89%) home post, 14 of 19 (74%) post, 43 of 56 (77%) reg+post, 2 of 3 this series.

J.Williams o1.5 TOs-154

0.65u

Over in 6 of 8 (75%) road post, 29 of 41 (71%) road reg+post, 2 of 3 this series.

T.McConnell o10.5 Pts+Ast-125

The Huddle got it first

A.Caruso o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

0.4u

Don’t mind pairing with Cason under too

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u6.5 Ast+105

0.53u

Great night from the Dunker Spot podcast talking about how Shai brought the ball up the court about half the times in G3 than he did in games 1 and 2. Was clearly a point of emphasis to just get the ball out of his hands (and not in a creating way) as much as possible. Add to OKC shooters just being dicier on the road and I’m in

T.Haliburton o2.5 TOs-115

0.43u

HALI NOT SGA. Nothing fancy- Hali has 3-5-4 TOs this series, over in all three games. He’ll be on the ball all game and OKC needs to ramp up defensive intensity to get control of the series back.

IND u110.5 Team Total-115

0.43u

Pacers are 14-0 when scoring 111+ this postseason but 0-5 when they’re below 111. This can act as a proxy for an OKC win, with the defense ramping up its intensity with the season on the line.

SGA 1H scoring leader-125

1.5u

SGA has 19-15-12 in 1H this series. Won this bet by multiple buckets the first two games and was a bucket away even in G3, his worst of the series. Expect a bounce back from a more aggressive MVP early. Averages 14.4ppg 1h in playoffs with median 15, 18+ in 37% which is a surefire win here almost any game. Has 9+ 1h all but one game which puts him in play even as a floor.

SGA G4 assists leader+280

0.5u

SGA assists have swung around a lot but the potentials are there and he gets dimes when OKC wins so this is a good aggressive proxy for an OKC win since Hali assists also are 2-4 lower in losses. Still think SGA is live for series assists leader if your book is offering a long number, even from 8 back. OKC will adjust and get SGA on the ball, and I expect the MVP to bounce back in a big way.

SGA -1.5 ast vs Nembhard-105

Nembhard assists have faded hard, 6-4-1 and the potentials even harder 12-5-3. He’s turning it over too much and using al his energy defending, so Hali TJ are getting all the assists. Looks like just 2-3 most games forward barring a big change. SGA assists have swung around a lot but the potentials are there and he gets dimes when OKC wins. If you like Indiana here, probably skip this one. If you don’t have this H2H you can also just play Nembhard u4.5a if you like, or SGA/jdub +155 vs Hali/Nemb. You can also play it straight at -250 if you prefer.

T.McConnell o10.5 Pts+Ast-115

1.15u

OKC -6-110

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NBA Public Betting

Pacers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Pacers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pacers are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Pacers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pacers' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pacers	36-44-2	17-22-2	19-22	20-28-2	16-14
Thunder	54-26-3	29-13-1	25-13-2	50-25-3	3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pacers	45-37	21-20	24-17	23-27	21-9
Thunder	46-37	25-18	21-19	44-34	2-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pacers	14-6	N/A	N/A	35-15	15-15
Thunder	14-6	N/A	N/A	64-14	3-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 12th	OKC	W 116-107	+5.5 W	U 226	IND +185
Jun 9th	@OKC	L 107-123	+11.5 L	O 228	OKC +440
Jun 6th	@OKC	W 111-110	+10 W	U 229.5	IND +375
Jun 1st	NYK	W 125-108	-4.5 W	O 222.5	IND -178
May 30th	@NYK	L 94-111	+4.5 L	U 223	NYK +154