Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2025

Timberwolves at Thunder

12:30 am • ESPN
103 - 118

Timberwolves at Thunder Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves
1-2
+7
+8-110
o218-107
+265
Thunder
2-1
u215.5
-8-110
u218-112
-330
location pinFriday 12:30 a.m.
May 23, 2025
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 43-56-2 (-15.5u)
A.Caruso o5.5 Rebs+Ast-110
1.1u
L.Dort o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 141-162-0 (+0.2u)
MIN +8.5-106
3u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 26-27-0 (-12.0u)
A.Edwards o25.5 Pts-105
1.5u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 43-56-2 (-15.5u)
I.Hartenstein o7.5 Rebs+102
1.02u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 195-231-3 (-45.8u)
I.Hartenstein u7.5 Rebs-128
1.28u
D.DiVincenzo o10.5 Pts+105
0.95u
D.DiVincenzo o2.5 3pt M+110
0.91u
N.Alexander-Walker o6.5 Pts-115
1u
I.Hartenstein u8.5 Pts-122
1u
N.Alexander-Walker o1.5 3pt M+115
1u
A.Caruso u7.5 Pts-108
1.08u
A.Edwards o25.5 Pts+100
1u
J.Randle u19.5 Pts-115
1u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o31.5 Pts-120
1u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 3-9-0 (-4.0u)
C.Wallace o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-128
0.78u
18 > 8 > 14 > 15 > 13 last 5 and could be trending up in minutes this series even if the game is close. Averaged 13.3 PRA off bench during reg szn
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 58-63-3 (-6.9u)
MIN o104.5 Team Total-110
2.75u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 32-37-0 (-4.7u)
A.Edwards o32.5 Pts+Rebs-111
1u
31.5 on rivers
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 33-26-3 (+8.9u)
Over 217-105
1.9u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 124-149-5 (-22.9u)
A.Edwards u3.5 3pt M-130
0.77u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 3-9-0 (-4.0u)
OKC -17.5+309
0.2u
OKC median point diff across 49 reg+post home games this year is +18
OKC -17.5+309
0.2u
OKC median point diff across 49 reg+post home games this year is +18
OKC -25.5+850
0.2u
OKC +23.7 avg MOV in 7 postseason home games with wins by 26+ in 4 of 7
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 127-106-5 (+5.9u)
OKC -7.5-115
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 76-120-0 (-24.7u)
OKC -24.5+650
0.1u
Under 217-110
0.1u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 52-61-0 (-19.2u)
J.McDaniels o11.5 Pts-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 36-42-0 (-5.5u)
J.Randle u19.5 Pts-110
0.45u
🥹 👉🏻👈🏻
A.Edwards o25.5 Pts-105
0.95u
Big dog eats
MoneyLineWixted
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 32-31-1 (-11.2u)
MIN +7.5-112
1.12u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 52-61-0 (-19.2u)
A.Edwards o24.5 Pts-117
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 71-106-0 (-0.4u)
D.DiVincenzo o12.5 Pts+Ast-110
1u
The Wolves primary strategy against OKC was to bomb from deep and they took a whopping 51 shots from beyond the arc which accounted for 61% of their attempts. One player that can help with that is Donte Divencenzo. DDV has averaged 14.7 PA this season and is due for a bit of positive regression after Game 1. Donte had 2 dimes on 6 potentials but he had the second most passes on the Wolves. Further, he was just 3/14 from the field including 3/12 from 3 point range. He’s a 40% 3 point shooter over the past few seasons and on that volume, this sets up well for DD . Minnesota shot just 29.4% from 3 point range in Game 1 and I expect a bit of a bounce back given the volume. This should help Donte for both his own scoring but his assists as well.
A.Edwards o31.5 Pts+Rebs-112
0.89u
The Wolves struggled mightily on offense in Game 1 and Ant never got rolling. He was 5/13 from the field and 3/8 from beyond the arc. He talked in the postgame presser about how OKC threw a variety of different coverages at him and how he may need to address this. He has struggled as a scoring threat against the Thunder throughout his career; however, his ceiling as worth tapping into in this series. He’s averaged 20.4 FGA per game this season and that’s been static in the Playoffs. The key is in each series he has improved the more he’s seen the coverages thrown at him. He still was able to generate contact and got to the free throw line 7 times despite only taking “13 ******* shots” - his words, not mine. I like adding the rebounds here given his extremely high floor with 7+ in five straight games against OKC. Let’s sprinkle series scoring Leader (+2500 Bet365) as well (a play Brandon is on as well), and try to capitalize on his ceiling.
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 52-61-0 (-19.2u)
N.Reid o1.5 3pt M-135
1.35u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-121-9 (-22.1u)
A.Edwards o25.5 Pts-102
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 109-72-2 (+64.5u)
I.Joe o0.5 Stl+230
0.5u
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Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 76-120-0 (-24.7u)
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-140
0.5u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 64-79-5 (-20.1u)
MIN +7.5-110
1.1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 82-78-2 (-8.5u)
Under 215-106
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 83-89-0 (-16.5u)
Under 214.5-105
3u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 9-8-1 (+0.4u)
MIN +7.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 76-120-0 (-24.7u)
J.Williams o25.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.3u
RocketPlays
RocketPlays
Last 30d: 8-38-0 (-7.9u)
J.McDaniels To Record 10+ Rebounds Yes+750
0.25u
J.McDaniels To Record 7+ Rebounds Yes+155
0.75u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-121-9 (-22.1u)
MIN +7.5-110
1.1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 109-72-2 (+64.5u)
MIN +260
1u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG Link to VIP (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 39-27-0 (+10.1u)
J.Randle o18.5 Pts-127
1u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 52-61-0 (-19.2u)
C.Holmgren o8.5 Rebs-120
1.2u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 102-198-0 (+51.1u)
N.Alexander-Walker To Make 3+ Threes Yes+470
1.18u
Minnesota 3pt volume super high G1, including NAW at 9 attempts. His handling and defense are important in this series and he played 28’ in G1. In games with 20+ minutes this season, he got up 4+ attempts in exactly 2/3 of his games, and in 4/5 playoff games. If he’s out there that much again, the shots will come. Play 3 makes if you can’t play attempts.
D.DiVincenzo To Make 5+ Threes Yes+750
0.15u
DDV took 12 3s in G1 and is clearly a big part of the rotation and plan. When he plays 27+ minutes this season, he has 7+ 3pa in 23/32 games, 72% hit rate to this, averaging 8.4 attempts. If you can bet attempts, we don’t have to worry about makes. If you prefer makes, go for the outliers in case the volume is high and the shots fall.
D.DiVincenzo To Make 6+ Threes Yes+1600
0.1u
DDV took 12 3s in G1 and is clearly a big part of the rotation and plan. When he plays 27+ minutes this season, he has 7+ 3pa in 23/32 games, 72% hit rate to this, averaging 8.4 attempts. If you can bet attempts, we don’t have to worry about makes. If you prefer makes, go for the outliers in case the volume is high and the shots fall.
Alexander-Walker o3.5 3PA-120
0.83u
Minnesota 3pt volume super high G1, including NAW at 9 attempts. His handling and defense are important in this series and he played 28’ in G1. In games with 20+ minutes this season, he got up 4+ attempts in exactly 2/3 of his games, and in 4/5 playoff games. If he’s out there that much again, the shots will come. Play 3 makes if you can’t play attempts.
DDV o6.5 3PA+110
0.75u
DDV took 12 3s in G1 and is clearly a big part of the rotation and plan. When he plays 27+ minutes this season, he has 7+ 3pa in 23/32 games, 72% hit rate to this, averaging 8.4 attempts. If you can bet attempts, we don’t have to worry about makes. If you prefer makes, go for the outliers I’m case the volume is high and the shots fall.
C.Wallace o11.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
0.8u
OKC is showing huge trust in Cason with 27-28-33 minutes the last 3g, second most minutes of any Thunder player in G1. He’s had 14-15-13 PRA in those. He averages 14.8 PRA in 39 games with 27’-33’ this season so this is a volume play.
J.Randle o3.5 TOs+100
1u
Randle had 5 TOs in G1, his fourth straight game with 4+ turnovers. He struggled against GSW with 3.6 TOs/g and also had 4 in his previous game against OKC this season. Randle has the ball a lot because Ant can’t do everything, but he just doesn’t make quick enough decisions against this overwhelming defense.
A.Edwards o6.5 Rebs-140
0.36u
No reason not to keep playing. Number will likely be 7.5 soon enough and probably still playable even there.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 76-120-0 (-24.7u)
N.Reid o1.5 3pt M-135
0.4u
J.McDaniels o1.5 3pt M+140
0.42u
R.Gobert o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
0.35u
MIN +7.5-105
0.55u
MIN +260
0.2u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 37-31-0 (+4.3u)
N.Reid o1.5 3pt M-115
0.58u
Ultimate buy-low spot where MIN needs his offense.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander u1.5 3pt M+105
0.53u
Running it back. SGA now shooting 27% from 3PT in playoffs. Only 24% of his shots come from 3PT.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Timberwolves

Public

44%

Bets%

56%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
54-26-329-13-125-13-250-25-33-1
Timberwolves
39-42-117-23-122-1927-3612-6-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Thunder
46-3725-1821-1944-342-2
Timberwolves
44-3824-1720-2132-3112-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
10-4N/AN/A64-143-1
Timberwolves
9-4N/AN/A40-239-10

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 21stMINW 114-88-7 WU 219OKC -290
May 18thDENW 125-93-8.5 WO 214OKC -325
May 16th@DENL 107-119-5 LO 218.5DEN -205
May 14thDENW 112-105-10 LU 221.5OKC -450
May 11th@DENW 92-87-7 LU 228OKC -278

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates

Thunder Injuries

  • Isaiah Joe
    PG

    Joe is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Nikola Topic
    PG

    Topić is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

Timberwolves Injuries

  • Terrence Shannon
    PF

    Shannon is questionable with foot

    Questionable

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    38
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Jalen Williams logo
    Jalen Williams
    10
    rpg
  • assists
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    Jalen Williams logo
    Jalen Williams
    60
    fg%
Team Stats
36-87 (41%)
Field Goals
45-90 (50%)
20-26 (77%)
Free Throws
19-24 (79%)
11-39 (28%)
3P
9-33 (27%)
41
Rebounds
42
20
Assists
30
Turnovers
2
Steals
9
7
Blocks
3
20
Fouls
22

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds Comparison

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Timberwolves at Thunder Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Timberwolves
1-2
o105-108
u105-111
Thunder
2-1
o112.5-118
u112.5-103