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Boise State vs. S. Florida Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2025

Boise State at S. Florida

9:30 pm • ESPN

Boise State Broncos

1-1
7
7 - 34

South Florida Bulls

2-0
34

Boise State at S. Florida Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Boise State
1-1
-9.5
-4.5-110
o61.5-108
-200
S. Florida
2-0
u63.5
+4.5-110
u61.5-112
+168
location pinThursday 9:30 p.m.
August 28, 2025
Raymond James StadiumTampa
Boise State vs. S. Florida Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 37-45-1 (-2.6u)
BOISE -4.5-115
1.15u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 84-79-7 (-1.7u)
USF +5.5-110
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-17-1 (-1.6u)
USF +5.5-110
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 2-3-0 (-1.3u)
Over 61.5-110
1.1u
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 4-12-0 (-3.4u)
M.Lauter Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
2u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 19-20-0 (+1.3u)
USF +3.5 (1H)-115
1u
Invisible Insider
Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-3.8u)
Under 62.5-115
0.87u
FIRST CFB PLAY!
Player Props
Player Props
Last 30d: 16-18-1 (-2.6u)
S.Gaines u83.5 Rush Yds-114
0.88u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 47-71-4 (-30.6u)
USF +5.5-108
0.93u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 69-60-3 (+5.6u)
USF +6.5-115
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 98-93-0 (-1.4u)
USF +6.5-120
0.83u
Analytics Trends
Analytics Trends
Last 30d: 48-45-3 (-0.9u)
USF +5.5-110
0.91u
📊 24-5 W/L (82.76%) ROI ~ 57.99% L10 ~ 10-0 📈 Week 1 Short Home Dogs ✅ Team is at home ✅ Week 1 of season ✅ Team is underdog ✅ O/U between 56 and 65 ✅ Teams spread in less than 9
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 77-92-8 (-18.6u)
Under 62.5-108
1u
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 57-38-1 (+17.1u)
USF o27.5 Team Total-105
0.95u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 28-26-1 (-0.9u)
USF +6.5-115
0.87u
@Stuckey2 @_Collin1 https://myaction.app/jnIk27bhbWb
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 44-47-5 (-5.3u)
USF +6.5-115
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 44-27-5 (+13.6u)
USF +6.5-110
1u
BBOC Week 1 recording goes in depth on USF
DeadPresPicks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 12-19-0 (-0.3u)
USF +6.5-110
0.41u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 15-16-0 (+3.3u)
USF +200
1u
Blitz-happy Broncos won’t be able to disguise their looks against the Veer n Shoot. Massive OC downgrade and first game post-Jeanty should be too much to overcome in hot and sticky Tampa 🥵
JC Cornell
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 50-66-0 (-53.3u)
BOISE -6-110
1.1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 44-27-5 (+13.6u)
Under 64.5-110
0.5u
Project 61.5; generally not a big enough gap to call for a play, but heavy severe thunderstorms and heavy rain expected over three day span in Tampa. Will look to comeback OVER if this falls below key 59/62
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 22-17-1 (-0.6u)
USF +8.5-108
0.46u
Duck
Duck
Last 30d: 53-31-0 (+14.7u)
USF +8.5-108
0.61u
Easing into the position here but I think USF has a few scheme advantages here to exploit some of the BSU defensive weakness. Boise will be retooling the offense slightly and battling travel/heat. More to it, but this is high level.

Boise State vs. S. Florida Previews & Analysis

  • A Steady Dose of Sharp CFB Action article feature image

    A Steady Dose of Sharp CFB Action

    PJ Walsh•
    Aug 28, 2025 UTC
  • Boise State vs. USF: Upset Brewing in Tampa? article feature image

    Boise State vs. USF: Upset Brewing in Tampa?

    Mike Calabrese•
    Aug 28, 2025 UTC
  • Should Boise State Be On Upset Alert vs. South Florida? article feature image

    Should Boise State Be On Upset Alert vs. South Florida?

    Stuckey•
    Aug 28, 2025 UTC
  • TWO Underdog Moneyline Parlays We LOVE! | College Football Picks article feature image

    TWO Underdog Moneyline Parlays We LOVE! | College Football Picks

    •
    Aug 28, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Boise State vs. S. Florida Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Boise State

Public

Home Logo

S. Florida

58%

Bets%

42%

Money%

NCAAF Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • S. Florida are 2-0 in their last 5 games.
  • S. Florida are 2-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • S. Florida are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of S. Florida' last 2 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of S. Florida' 1 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
S. Florida		2-01-01-0N/A2-0
Boise State		1-11-00-11-1N/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
S. Florida		0-20-10-1N/A0-2
Boise State		1-11-00-11-1N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
S. Florida		2-0N/AN/AN/A2-0
Boise State		1-1N/AN/A1-1N/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 25th@SJSUW 41-39-1.5 WO 66.5USF -114
Nov 30th@RICEL 28-35-5.5 LO 54RICE -199
Nov 23rdTLSAW 63-30-17.5 WO 60.5USF -850
Nov 16th@CHAW 59-24+1.5 WO 53.5USF -101
Nov 9thNAVYL 7-28+3.5 LU 56.5NAVY +126
Team Stats

Total

378
Total Yards
372
86
Total Plays
53
4.395348837209302
Yards Per Play
7.018867924528302

Passing

256
YDS
255
27/48
Comps/Atts
17/25
5.333333333333333
YPA
10.2
1/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
1/5
Sacks/Yards
4/27

Rushing

122
Rush Yards
117
38
Attempts
28
3.210526315789474
YPC
4.178571428571429
0
TDs
3

Turnovers

3
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/3 33.33%
Redzone
4/4 100%
6/17 0%
3rd Down
5/14 0%
2/6 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

25
Total
15
11
Pass
5
12
Rush
7
2
Penalty
3

Misc

8/57
Penalties/Yards
7/56

Boise State vs. S. Florida Odds Comparison

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Boise State at S. Florida Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Boise State
1-1
o33.5-116
u33.5-117
S. Florida
2-0
o27.5-127
u27.5-105