Bears vs. Bengals Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2025

Boyd / FanDuel

I mentioned this one on the Fantasy Flex Projections pod earlier this week. With Luther Burden III ruled out, Zaccheus gets a clear bump in usage. DJ Moore also benefits, but with both D’Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson ruled out, there’s a good chance Moore lines up in the backfield more often..which gives Zaccheus even more opportunity. This should be one of Caleb Williams’ cleanest pockets of the season, if not his career. The Bengals already rank bottom five in pressure rate, and Trey Hendrickson is doubtful. That’s significant because Zaccheus’ target rate jumps from 15% when Caleb is pressured to a team-high 31% when he has a clean pocket. Fewer scrambles also mean more pass attempts overall, which adds volume to the passing game. Zaccheus’ average target depth is just 5.7 yards downfield, a career low, but that short-area usage helps his reception market the most. He’s been a bit unlucky with only a 66% catch rate, and based on his target profile, I’d expect something closer to 71%. Factoring that in, I project him around 4.1 receptions with about a 60% chance to clear 3.5.

DJ Moore anytime TD (+200 at BetMGM) This is a great matchup for Moore with the Bengals using Cover 6 as the second-highest rate in the NFL With Cover 6 designed to take out Odunze with a zone double, more passes should flow to Moore, Zaccheaus and the TEs Moore has the highest target share against Cover 6 on the Bears converting that into 6 catches on 7 targets in just 18 routes while Odunze has just 4 targets Moore has the highest first read rate on the team against Cover 6 as well, and QB Caleb Williams locks on to his first read more than double the rate with a clean pocket than under pressure With Cincy generating one of the lowest pressure rates in the league, Moore could be in for 2-3 receptions just against Cover 6 alone. The Bears also ruled out starting RB D'Andre Swift as well as third string RB Roschon Johnson, so Moore could mix in to a few more backfield snaps where he'll get a few carries and receives targets at more than 50% rate of routes run out of the backfield, overall giving him a few extra touches I'm projecting Moore closer to +170 for a TD

@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/Ejv6Hiy9UXb

3.37% ev play to -135

Fantasy Royale

Offense drives my totals model more than defense, and neither of these offenses are world-beaters. Even with an upgrade for the Bengals with how Joe Flacco has played, I still have this total well below 50.