Chargers vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 12, 2025
Chargers at Dolphins
5:00 pm • CBSChargers at Dolphins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chargers 4-3 | -2.5 | -3.5-102 | o45.5-110 | -185 |
 Dolphins 1-6 | u45.5 | +3.5-120 | u45.5-110 | +154 |
Hard Rock StadiumMiami Gardens
Chargers vs. Dolphins Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 61-55-1 (+1.4u)
D.Waller o36.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 62-34-3 (+51.9u)
MIA +3.5-105
1.9u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 79-63-1 (+4.8u)
MIA +3.5-105
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 85-103-2 (-9.7u)
J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs-120
0.83u
Fire line via 365
Over 44.5-110
0.91u
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 25-35-1 (-6.6u)
H.Haskins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175
1u
#ActionPlaybookLive This week’s Michael Carter
Babs .
Last 30d: 89-94-3 (-0.4u)
K.Allen u60.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 99-99-2 (+19.2u)
D.Achane o35.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 42-34-2 (+4.9u)
MIA +4-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 59-55-1 (+2.1u)
MIA +4-110
2.73u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 81-72-1 (+4.9u)
Under 44.5-115
1u
X: @PicksOffice
MIA +4.5-110
0.91u
X: @PicksOffice
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 53-86-1 (+11.3u)
K.Vidal o9.5 Longest Rush-115
0.87u
Kimani Vidal Longest Rush over 9.5 yards -115 at ESPN/DK, -120 CZR
Vidal and Hassan Haskins are due to split the backfield work, with Haskins taking more of the early down and short yardage situations, while Vidal will mix in to spell Haskins and play more on passing situations.
That should set up nicely for Vidal to have a long run, because the Dolphins allow big runs at a high rate (worst explosive run rate allowed in the NFL) and those rates increase all in situations that favor Vidal
1. neutral or pass-oriented situations: MIA has allowed just 3 runs of 10+ yards on 34 attempts (8.8%) when the run expectancy was at least 60% , but 19 runs of 10+ yards on 92 carries (20.7%) if the run expectancy was less than 60%.
2. Outside runs: Miami allows 19.5% of carries to go for 10+ yards on outside runs compared to 14.9% up the middle. More than two-thirds of Vidals runs are to the outside
3. Man/gap runs: Miami has a worse defensive success rate and yards per carry allowed against man/gap runs compared to zone runs. Under OC Greg Roman, the Chargers like to use man/gap schemes, especially with Vidal (68.1%)
I think this number is relatively low due to the Chargers depleted offensive line, but RT Trey Pipkins III hasn't been a great run blocker anyway so there is little to no dropoff there, and LT Joe Alt has also fared better as a zone blocker, but Vidal should be mainly used in man/gap concepts, so again, the dropoff may not be as large on Vidal runs as Haskins runs.
I'm projecting he'll have around 6.5-7.5 carries on average from at least 10 yards away from the end zone, which would give him a 50-55% chance of clearing this even without adjusting for the beneficial factors. After those adjustments, I have this in the 60% range.
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 32-45-1 (-9.6u)
D.Achane o31.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
L.McConkey 5+ Receptions Yes-125
0.8u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 15-54-1 (-5.8u)
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
1.05u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/QzEiDAmkmXb
O.Gordon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/QzEiDAmkmXb
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 32-91-0 (-0.2u)
K.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.5u
Babs .
Last 30d: 89-94-3 (-0.4u)
O.Gadsden o15.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 15-17-0 (-1.5u)
LAC -3.5-108
1.08u
@KendraMiddleton_ https://myaction.app/62yRjm1UlXb
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 69-130-0 (-6.2u)
Under 44.5-118
1u
@Stuckey2 Favorite Total https://myaction.app/5p3LFPuxkXb
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 171-155-3 (+17.1u)
MIA u20.5 Team Total-126
1u
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 27-24-1 (+0.8u)
Over 43.5-111
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 107-130-7 (+16.5u)
K.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185
0.1u
Babs .
Last 30d: 89-94-3 (-0.4u)
MIA o17.5 Team Total-120
0.83u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-60-0 (-20.6u)
MIA +4.5-104
0.96u
Have this spread under a field goal due to all of the Chargers' offensive injuries.
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 69-130-0 (-6.2u)
LAC -4.5-110
1u
@wheatonbrando Week 6 Hot Read https://myaction.app/jslDWc2rfXb
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 55-108-0 (-1.1u)
LAC -4.5-113
1.5u
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 16-8-0 (+9.2u)
LAC -1.5-115
0.87u
Chargers vs. Dolphins Previews & Analysis
Chargers vs. Dolphins Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Chargers vs. Dolphins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Dolphins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Dolphins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Dolphins are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Dolphins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dolphins' 3 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Chargers vs. Dolphins Injury Updates
Chargers Injuries
- Najee HarrisRB
Harris is out with achilles
Out
- Hassan HaskinsRB
Haskins is questionable with chest
Questionable
- Omarion HamptonRB
Hampton is out with ankle
Out
Dolphins Injuries
- Tyreek HillWR
Hill is out with knee
Out
- James DanielsG
Daniels is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Team Stats
Chargers vs. Dolphins Odds Comparison
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Chargers at Dolphins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Chargers 4-3 | o24.5-104 | u24.5-122 |
Dolphins 1-6 | o21-109 | u21-113 |