Dolphins vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2025
Dolphins at Colts
5:00 pm • CBSDolphins at Colts Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dolphins 0-0 | +1.5 | +1.5-117 | o46.5-113 | -108 |
 Colts 0-0 | u46.5 | -1.5-103 | u46.5-110 | -110 |
Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
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Dolphins vs. Colts Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 95-88-0 (+1.0u)
T.Dodson o5.5 Tackles + Ast+120
1u
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-0.5u)
MIA +1.5-117
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+1.1u)
MIA -6.5+240
0.25u
When I first pulled up the Week 1 schedule, this would've been the last game I expected to bet. These feel like two of the least predictable teams in the league, and the vibes for both franchises this offseason were terrible.
I also hate betting games with coin flip lines like this, and these teams were certainly a coin flip last year — both offenses and defenses ranked between 19th and 22th in DVOA, a perfect encapsulation of boringly-subpar not-terrible-but-not-good-either units.
For some goofy reason, the Colts are terrible in Week 1. They managed to cover last season by a single point, but it was their first Week 1 cover in a decade.
And for some reason, when the Dolphins do win a game, it's usually not close. In the last two years, Miami has won 18 games with Tua Tagovailoa; 11 of those wins (61%) were by at least seven points, and almost half of them (44%) were by at least 14.
The Dolphins are unpredictable week-to-week, but when this offense is healthy and things go well, they usually go quite well. Mike McDaniel always has a few new wrinkles to start the season, and that's a tough ask for new Colts DC Lou Anarumo with his guys adjusting to a new system.
Miami's secondary is five entirely new names this season but the Colts aren't built to test that secondary, and if the Colts do fall behind — well, do you trust Daniel Jones playing from a negative script?
I want no part in a traditional side or moneyline here. I have no idea if either team is good or bad or terrible, nor who will win.
But if the Dolphins do win, they'll probably win by a lot, so let's just play that. Split your bet between two Miami alternate lines: -6.5 at +240 (BetMGM) and -13.5 at +560 (FanDuel).
MIA -13.5+560
0.25u
When I first pulled up the Week 1 schedule, this would've been the last game I expected to bet. These feel like two of the least predictable teams in the league, and the vibes for both franchises this offseason were terrible.
I also hate betting games with coin flip lines like this, and these teams were certainly a coin flip last year — both offenses and defenses ranked between 19th and 22th in DVOA, a perfect encapsulation of boringly-subpar not-terrible-but-not-good-either units.
For some goofy reason, the Colts are terrible in Week 1. They managed to cover last season by a single point, but it was their first Week 1 cover in a decade.
And for some reason, when the Dolphins do win a game, it's usually not close. In the last two years, Miami has won 18 games with Tua Tagovailoa; 11 of those wins (61%) were by at least seven points, and almost half of them (44%) were by at least 14.
The Dolphins are unpredictable week-to-week, but when this offense is healthy and things go well, they usually go quite well. Mike McDaniel always has a few new wrinkles to start the season, and that's a tough ask for new Colts DC Lou Anarumo with his guys adjusting to a new system.
Miami's secondary is five entirely new names this season but the Colts aren't built to test that secondary, and if the Colts do fall behind — well, do you trust Daniel Jones playing from a negative script?
I want no part in a traditional side or moneyline here. I have no idea if either team is good or bad or terrible, nor who will win.
But if the Dolphins do win, they'll probably win by a lot, so let's just play that. Split your bet between two Miami alternate lines: -6.5 at +240 (BetMGM) and -13.5 at +560 (FanDuel).
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
MIA -13.5+560
0.25u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/TqfB5ck7pWb
MIA -6.5+240
0.5u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/TqfB5ck7pWb
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 44-70-2 (-22.4u)
J.Taylor o77.5 Rush Yds-120
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 47-57-2 (-10.8u)
MIA -110
1.1u
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 32-69-0 (-1.1u)
J.Downs o4.5 Recs-114
0.75u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 40-42-5 (-3.9u)
O.Gordon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+255
0.4u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 19-14-1 (-0.3u)
Under 47.5-115
0.4u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 47-57-2 (-10.8u)
T.Hill o69.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 16-15-3 (+0.8u)
J.Downs o44.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 77-91-9 (-14.6u)
MIA +1.5-116
1.16u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 8-19-0 (+6.4u)
MIA -102
1u
I hate it, but here we are. Hard to model in bad vibes, so I've got the Dolphins favored by around a field goal here. What could go wrong.
Player Props
Last 30d: 17-18-1 (-1.7u)
J.Taylor o78.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 3-8-0 (-1.4u)
N.Westbrook-Ikhine Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.5u
No way I’m passing on NWI at this price. Big target for Tua and he scored vs Colts in both games last year with Titans.
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 37-45-1 (-2.6u)
Over 45.5-110
1.1u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 50-89-0 (-41.3u)
MIA +1-105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 93-99-1 (-11.6u)
MIA +1.5-112
1.12u
Overall: 70-33-3,68% (ROI:31%)
Dolphins vs. Colts Previews & Analysis
Dolphins vs. Colts Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Dolphins vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Colts vs. Dolphins Injury Updates
Colts Injuries
- Tyler GoodsonRB
Goodson is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Dolphins Injuries
- Darren WallerTE
Waller is out with hip
Out
- James DanielsG
Daniels is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Dee EskridgeWR
Eskridge is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Ethan BonnerCB
Bonner is out with hamstring
Out
- Jaylen WrightRB
Wright is out with knee
Out
Player Stats
- passing yards
Anthony Richardson1814pyds - passing touchdowns
-12ptd - rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor1431ryds - rushing touchdownsJonathan Taylor11rtd
Depth Charts
| Starter | 2ND | 3RD | 4TH | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Daniel Jones | Anthony Richardson | Riley Leonard | |||
| RB | Jonathan Taylor | Tyler Goodson | DJ Giddens | Ulysses Bentley | ||
| WR | Josh Downs | Anthony Gould | Coleman Owen | |||
| TE | Tyler Warren | Mo Alie-Cox | Drew Ogletree | Will Mallory | Sean McKeon | Max Mang |
| LT | Bernhard Raimann | Jalen Travis | ||||
| LG | Quenton Nelson | Dalton Tucker | Mose Vavao | |||
| C | Tanor Bortolini | Danny Pinter | ||||
| RG | Matt Goncalves | Josh Sills | Marcellus Johnson | |||
| RT | Braden Smith | Luke Tenuta | ||||
| LDE | Kwity Paye | Tyquan Lewis | JT Tuimoloau | |||
| RDE | Laiatu Latu | Samson Ebukam | Durell Nchami | |||
| WLB | Jaylon Carlies | Cameron McGrone | Austin Ajiake | |||
| MLB | Zaire Franklin | Joe Bachie | Segun Olubi | |||
| LCB | Charvarius Ward | Xavien Howard | ||||
| SS | Nick Cross | Daniel Scott | ||||
| FS | Cam Bynum | Rodney Thomas | Trey Washington | |||
| RCB | Jaylon Jones | Johnathan Edwards | ||||
| P | Rigoberto Sanchez | |||||
| H | Rigoberto Sanchez | |||||
| PR | Anthony Gould | Josh Downs | Coleman Owen | |||
| KR | Anthony Gould | Ashton Dulin | Tyler Goodson | DJ Giddens | ||
| LS | Luke Rhodes | |||||
| DT | DeForest Buckner | Adetomiwa Adebawore | Tim Smith | |||
| NB | Kenny Moore | Chris Lammons | ||||
| NT | Grover Stewart | Neville Gallimore | Eric Johnson | |||
| RWR | Alec Pierce | Adonai Mitchell | ||||
| K | Spencer Shrader | |||||
| LWR | Michael Pittman | Ashton Dulin | Laquon Treadwell |
Dolphins vs. Colts Odds Comparison
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Dolphins at Colts Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Dolphins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Colts 0-0 | N/A | N/A |