Commanders vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Commanders at Broncos

8:25 pm • CBS
35 - 33

Commanders at Broncos Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders
8-5
+4-110
o38.5-115
+156
Broncos
8-5
-4-110
u38.5-110
-190
location pinSunday 8:25 p.m.
September 17, 2023
Empower Field at Mile HighDenver
Commanders vs. Broncos Expert Picks
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
444d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
A.Trautman o2.5 Recs-110
1.1u
MGM. Russ loves his TEs - last season Broncos TEs averaged 5.7 targets per game in Russ’ starts - and that’s despite they fact they used Dulcich as more of a downfield target (13.3 aDOT). He’s on IR now, and Trautman figures to soak up essentially all of the receiving usage by the position (Chris Manhertz only ran 8 routes out of his 25 snaps and was not targeted - he’s known more as a blocker - Trautman ran 26 routes and was targeted 5 times for 5 catches). Jeudy is back, but I don’t see his presence affecting TE targets. I have Trautman seeing 5-6 targets.
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
444d ago
Last 30d: 19-25-1 (-7.8u)
DEN -2.5 (1H)-130
0.77u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
444d ago
Last 30d: 12-17-0 (-3.1u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
444d ago
Last 30d: 9-27-1 (-6.0u)
DEN -3.5-110
0.55u
Over 38.5-110
0.5u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
444d ago
Last 30d: 6-31-0 (-5.8u)
Denver D Anytime TD Scorer+700
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
444d ago
Last 30d: 66-53-0 (+4.4u)
DEN -184
0.1u
Round Robin 5/5
DEN -3.5-110
0.5u
AAA Sports
AAA Sports
444d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-110
$1.00
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
444d ago
Last 30d: 21-22-0 (+1.8u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
Too much data not to back the Broncos. Our Luck Rankings love them. @Stuckey2 loves them. So I do, too. Quickslip link to FD: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.395166016&selectionId[0]=50211&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
444d ago
Last 30d: 73-83-1 (-8.0u)
J.Williams o10.5 Rec Yds-120
0.83u
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
444d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
445d ago
Last 30d: 24-32-0 (-9.7u)
J.Jewell o7.5 Tackles + Ast-125
0.8u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
445d ago
Last 30d: 122-122-2 (+3.8u)
R.Wilson o19.5 Pass Comp-115
$57.50
Tailing T Mack
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
445d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Howell o3.5 Rush Att-105
1.05u
MGM. I am back on Howell, despite taking an L on this last week. Why? Well he only had 2 rush attempts, but he was “sacked” 3 times for 0 yards, and had two scrambles taken away by penalties. Eric Bienemy called out Howell’s ability to run this week as well. I will gladly take this vs a Broncos team that allowed the significantly less athletic Jimmy G to scramble three times last week.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
445d ago
Last 30d: 87-125-0 (-3.6u)
Under 39-112
1.12u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
446d ago
Last 30d: 34-73-1 (-5.7u)
Denver D Anytime TD Scorer+700
0.25u
Bet at DraftKings. This also includes special teams (D/ST). Watch The TD Show at 11:30am ET for full analysis.
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
446d ago
Last 30d: 13-11-0 (+0.8u)
DEN -3.5-110
1.1u
Stuckey 3
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
446d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-110
1u
Joe Nelson
Joe Nelson
446d ago
Last 30d: 4-4-0 (-0.1u)
WAS +3.5-110
1u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
449d ago
Last 30d: 49-36-2 (+9.4u)
Under 39.5-110
0.6u
Wynn NV
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
450d ago
Last 30d: 111-96-5 (+8.2u)
DEN -3.5-105
1.05u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
450d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-108
1.08u

PRO Insights

Commanders logo

Commanders

WAS Insights
  • Commanders logoThe Broncos have scored 16.8 points per game since the 2022 season -- second-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 19.8 PPG since the 2022 season -- sixth-best in NFL.
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Broncos logo

Broncos

DEN Insights
  • Broncos logoThe Broncos have a third down conversion rate of 30.0% in late and close games since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.0% in close and late situations since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth-best in NFL.
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Commanders vs. Broncos Previews & Analysis

  • McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5 article feature image

    McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

    Brett McMurphy
    Sep 27, 2023 UTC
  • Stuckey's NFL Week 2 Betting Card article feature image

    Stuckey's NFL Week 2 Betting Card

    Stuckey
    Sep 17, 2023 UTC
  • Kickin' It With Dr. Nick: 2 Kicker Props for Week 2 article feature image

    Kickin' It With Dr. Nick: 2 Kicker Props for Week 2

    Nick Giffen
    Sep 17, 2023 UTC
  • Commanders vs. Broncos: Denver Has Edge at Mile High article feature image

    Commanders vs. Broncos: Denver Has Edge at Mile High

    Charlie Disturco
    Sep 17, 2023 UTC
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Commanders vs. Broncos Props

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Commanders vs. Broncos Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Broncos
10-34-26-16-04-3
Commanders
8-4-15-23-2-16-22-2-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Broncos
8-54-24-35-13-4
Commanders
9-44-35-15-34-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Broncos
8-5N/AN/A6-02-5
Commanders
8-5N/AN/A6-22-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 10thLVL 16-17-3 LU 43LV -172
Aug 27thLAW 41-0-5.5 WO 37.5DEN -227
Aug 20th@SFL 20-21-3.5 LO 40SF -170
Aug 12th@ARIL 17-18-6 LU 37.5ARI -258
Jan 8thLACW 31-28-6.5 LO 39.5DEN -265

Commanders vs. Broncos Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Tyler Ott
    LS

    Ott is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Cornelius Lucas
    T

    Lucas is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Nick Bellore
    LB

    Bellore is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Marshon Lattimore
    CB

    Lattimore is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with concussion

    Out

  • Andrew Wylie
    OL

    Wylie is out with concussion

    Out

  • Austin Seibert
    K

    Seibert is out with hip

    Out

  • Colson Yankoff
    TE

    Yankoff is out with hamstring

    Out

Broncos Injuries

  • Luke Wattenberg
    C

    Wattenberg is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Delarrin Turner-Yell
    S

    Turner-Yell is out with knee

    Out

  • Riley Moss
    CB

    Moss is out with knee

    Out

  • Drew Sanders
    LB

    Sanders is out with achilles

    Out

Team Stats
388
Total Yards
399
66
Total Plays
62
5.9
Yards Per Play
6.4
299
YDS
308
27/39
Comps/Atts
18/32
6.186
YPA
7.103
2/0
TDs/INTs
3/1
4/33
Sacks/Yards
7/31
122
Rush Yards
122
23
Attempts
23
5.304
YPC
5.304
2
TDs
1
0
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
1
3/3 100%
Redzone
2/4 50%
3/10 0%
3rd Down
4/12 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%
26
Total
21
11
Pass
8
11
Rush
10
4
Penalty
3
8/71
Penalties/Yards
9/58
33:45
Possession
26:15

Commanders vs. Broncos Odds Comparison

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Commanders at Broncos Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Commanders
8-5
o16.5-130
u16.5-105
Broncos
8-5
o21.5-106
u21.5-116