Commanders vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 24, 2023

Jets scored fucking 0 points last week lmao

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-16-player-props-jake-ferguson-jahan-dotson

Available at FanDuel. I'm honestly a bit perplexed about why this number is so high. If Zach Wilson can't go, then Trevor Siemian will get the start, and the Jets' offense has been an abject disaster without Wilson this year. Robert Saleh didn't rule out Aaron Rodgers, but Rodgers had previously said he would play only if the Jets were still alive for the playoffs. Maybe those plans have changed, and it's possible he plays, but it seems to be one of the less likely scenarios. Even with the Commanders' defense being historically awful, my model still makes this total 33.5, well below the current mark. That's even with wind speeds in East Rutherford currently at 4 miles per hour, meaning that total could decrease even more should the wind go up. The Jets' defense is playing well enough to keep the Commanders in check, and I don't know how the Jets light up the scoreboard with their current offensive personnel. Unless Rodgers pulls a fast one, I think this number should be lower.