Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS

New York Jets

3-6

6 - 32

Buffalo Bills

7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jets 3-6	+7.5	+8.5-110	o39.5-105	+300
Bills 7-2	u39.5	-8.5-110	u39.5-109	-380

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 19, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

B.Hall o39.5 Rec Yds+998

NYJ +8.5-110

B.Hall u3.5 Recs-110

NYJ +8.5-110

0.55u

Under 39.5-110

0.5u

J.Allen o26.5 Rush Yds-130

D.Kincaid u18.5 Longest Reception-110

aDOT of 3.9 prior to a 22 yard TD grab last week against denver who sucks vs TE, Jets are way better. what even is this line (H/T Ben Wolby on Twitter)

Over 39.5-108

$1.00

G.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer+240

@charliedisturco

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

BUF -8.5-110

$100.00

BUF -8.5-110

0.91u

Under 19.5 (1H)+100

@ChrisRaybon

Under 40-114

J.Ruckert Anytime TD Scorer+2000

0.15u

BUF o24-110

0.91u

Haven’t covered this line in 3 games - new coordinator

Under 20 (1H)-110

1.1u

J.Cook o12.5 Longest Rush-114

1.14u

J.Cook u14.5 Longest Rush-120

G.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer+240

0.25u

ESPN Bet

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

Bet at FanDuel. Would play to +1000.

NYJ +7-110

1.5u

Every Game Every Team! https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-week-11-betting-preview-for-every-game-every-team

D.Kincaid o4.5 Recs-140

B365. Good at DK @ -145 Over in 4/L4, with a 22% target share now as the sole TE. Tougher matchup for him, but an even worse spot for Diggs and Davis. 4.6 aDOT should keep his production minimally affected by any potential weather.

Under 20 (1H)-105

BUF -6.5-122

0.82u

Available at FanDuel. Betting on the Bills just burned me last night, but the circumstances in that game were wild. There were a bunch of turnovers, and the Broncos ran super hot on late downs. Even after adding in data from that game, my model still makes the Bills 9.5-point favorites here. Even when looking at just 2023 data, the Bills rank third in my model's offensive power rankings after adjusting for schedule. Their defense is a legitimate, concerning problem, but the Jets rank dead last -- by a mile -- in that model's offensive power rankings. It's possible the Jets' (very good) defense can force Chaos Josh Allen into mistakes to keep the game close. But that's the only true path to a cover I see for them.

Featured Insight
Jets RBs have 55.0 receiving yards per game since Week 7 -- fifth-best in NFL. The Bills have averaged 59.5 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since Week 7 -- third-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Bills TEs have 4 receiving touchdowns this season -- tied for 10th-most in NFL. The Jets have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to TEs this season -- tied for most in NFL.

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How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football
Billy Ward•
Nov 20, 2023 UTC
Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo
Anthony Dabbundo•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC
Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 11
Gilles Gallant•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC
NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks
Action Network Staff•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Bills' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	5-4	2-2	3-2	4-2	1-2
Jets	3-6	2-2	1-3	3-3	0-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	5-4	4-0	1-4	5-1	0-3
Jets	4-4-1	1-3	3-0-1	2-3-1	2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	7-2	N/A	N/A	6-0	1-2
Jets	3-6	N/A	N/A	3-3	0-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 14th	DEN	L 22-24	-7.5 L	U 47.5	DEN -390
Nov 6th	@CIN	L 18-24	+1.5 L	U 50.5	CIN +105
Oct 27th	TB	W 24-18	-10 L	U 43	BUF -500
Oct 22nd	@NE	L 25-29	-7.5 L	O 41.5	NE -395
Oct 16th	NYG	W 14-9	-15.5 L	U 43.5	BUF -1200

C.J. Mosley
LB
Mosley is out with neck
Out

Morgan Moses
OL
Moses is questionable with knee
Questionable
Allen Lazard
WR
Lazard is out with chest
Out
Zack Bailey
OL
Bailey is out with back
Out
Ashtyn Davis
S
Davis is out with concussion
Out
Leki Fotu
DT
Fotu is out with knee
Out
Alijah Vera-Tucker
G
Vera-Tucker is out with ankle
Out
Chazz Surratt
LB
Surratt is questionable with heel
Questionable
Tony Adams
S
Adams is out with hamstring
Out

Amari Cooper
WR
Cooper is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Reggie Gilliam
FB
Gilliam is out with hip
Out
Christian Benford
CB
Benford is out with wrist
Out
DeWayne Carter
DT
Carter is out with wrist
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Jets

Total

Bills

155

Total Yards

393

Total Plays

2.9

Yards Per Play

5.5

Jets

Passing

Bills

132

YDS

275

15/30

Comps/Atts

20/32

2.556

YPA

7.97

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/1

6/40

Sacks/Yards

1/12

Jets

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

130

Attempts

3.5

YPC

3.421

TDs

Jets

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Jets

Efficiency

Bills

1/1 100%

Redzone

1/4 25%

0/11 0%

3rd Down

5/13 0%

4/5 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Jets

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Jets

Misc

Bills

5/35

Penalties/Yards

8/77

23:09

Possession

36:51

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MatchupOverUnder
Jets 3-6	o14.5-115	u14.5-113
Bills 7-2	o23.5-115	u23.5-114

Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

New York Jets

Buffalo Bills

Jets at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Jets

Bills

Jets vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football

Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo

Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 11

NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks

Jets vs. Bills Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Jets vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Jets

Public

Bills

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Jets vs. Bills Injury Updates

Jets Injuries

Bills Injuries

Jets vs. Bills Odds Comparison

Jets at Bills Team Totals