Saints vs Packers Odds
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
Saints vs. Packers odds have this one pegged as a close matchup, with Green Bay installed as a one-point favorite.
The Saints are off to a surprising 2-0 start to the year thanks to their tough defensive play. Meanwhile, Jordan Love and the Packers have had an up-and-down start to the year, but are looking for a big performance in their first home game.
Let's preview the game and make a Saints vs. Packers pick.
Saints vs. Packers
Matchup Analysis
The Saints are undefeated in the Derek Carr era, but not in the fashion many fans probably hoped for.
Carr's Week 1 numbers were decent, but he was unable to make big throws against the Titans when needed most. It was a worse performance in New Orleans' Week 2 win over the Panthers, when Carr threw for 228 yards with one interception and zero touchdowns.
The biggest problem for the Saints offense has been converting red-zone trips into touchdowns. They are 29th in red-zone TD percentage at just 37.5%.
Conversely, Jordan Love and the Packers have been fantastic in this area, converting 83.33% of red-zone trips into touchdowns, which is tied for the best mark in the league. The Saints will need to increase that number to keep up with the Packers.
Defensively, the Saints have been rock solid.
Ryan Tannehill was awful against them in Week 1 with a three-interception performance, and they made things hard on rookie Bryce Young last week. However, you can easily make the argument that Love and this Packers offense will be the best group they have faced so far. Love has a 6-0 TD-INT ratio through his first two games.
Bet New Orleans vs. Green Bay at FanDuel
This great early work from Love has come without his No. 1 target, Christian Watson.
Watson's return would be a huge boost for the Packers, but it seems like the Year 2 wideout will end up being a game-time decision. The status of Aaron Jones is also in question, and his absence would be a tough break for the Packers, though they have had more success through the air this year.
This is a good matchup for the Packers defense. Green Bay has held both Justin Fields and Desmond Ridder to relatively pedestrian performances this season, but it was exposed on the ground by Atlanta last week.
Luckily for them, this is another week without Alvin Kamara for the Saints, and with other injuries, it appears that Taysom Hill and Tony Jones Jr. will be getting most of the carries — not exactly a daunting duo.
I expect the Packers defense to prioritize shutting down Hill and Jones and forcing Carr to make big-time throws, which he has struggled to do this season.
Saints vs. Packers
Betting Picks & Predictions
The Packers are finally playing at Lambeau Field this season and that is good news for Matt LaFleur.
Under LaFleur, the Packers are 21-13 (61.8%) ATS as home favorites, the second-best mark in the league since 2019.
Of course, Aaron Rodgers had a big part to play in that, but LaFleur deserves credit for how he handles these home games against inferior opponents.
I expect Jordan Love to continue his success through the air and the Saints offense to struggle in the hostile environment.
