My plan of attack for Thursday Night Football between the Tennessee Titans and Pittsburgh Steelers involves a Titans-centric same game parlay, focusing on how I’m expecting Tennessee’s offensive unit to move the ball against the Steelers defense.
Check out my Titans vs. Steelers same game parlay picks and analysis below.
Titans vs. Steelers Same Game Parlay (+123)
- Treylon Burks Under 2.5 Receptions (-174)
- Derrick Henry Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-215)
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Treylon Burks Under 2.5 Receptions (-174)
The sophomore receiver returned from a muti-game absence last week and failed to register a catch on two targets. When he’s been healthy, the Titans have deployed Burks as a deep target, with a 19.3 average depth of target (aDOT).
The downfield throws are conducive to how the Titans used rookie quarterback Will Levis last week. The Kentucky product’s calling card is his strong arm, and the Titans allowed him to let it fly in his debut: His 12.3 aDOT led the NFL among starting quarterbacks last week.
The longer throws, of course, are less likely to turn into completions. And with very limited reps between Levis and Burks, I don’t foresee a path to volume for the Arkansas product, especially with DeAndre Hopkins expected to play (he’s questionable with a toe injury).
Pick: Treylon Burks Under 2.5 Receptions
Derrick Henry Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-215)
No matter who plays quarterback for the Titans, the focal point of the offense remains King Henry. The bruising running back has cleared this line in five of his seven games and is coming off consecutive 95+ yard performances.
The Titans lean on their run game to set up play-action passes. Henry's involvement in the game plan seems like a sure thing, but we still need the game script to cooperate. And I see that happening against the Steelers.
Despite’s Pittsburgh’s positive 4-3 record, Steeler opponents have run the fifth-fewest plays per game when trailing, including only 29 plays in seven games when trailing by at least two scores.
I doubt the Steelers will be able to force the Titans' hand in terms of abandoning the run. In fact, the Steelers have allowed a 60+ yard rusher in six of their seven games played.
Pick: Derrick Henry Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Titans vs. Steelers Same Game Parlay (+123)
- Treylon Burks Under 2.5 Receptions (-174)
- Derrick Henry Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-215)
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